by Jean-Jacques COURTEY, Doctor in Economic Geography, Ph. D
Turkey is the real place the West values are really starting to be desacralised, with a strong and passionate French-Turk controversy involving a memorial law, about Arminians sad destiny in the Ottoman Empire in 1915. A total recall is going on for 2012 with unexpected outcome.
Turkey and France are at daggers drawn, because of a new French law, not yet promulgated : it is about penalisation of Arminian genocide negation, which became ultimately a more general rule about all genocides. And electoral reasons (the 500 000 Arminians' vote for next presidential elections) are pointed out as adventurous opportunism. Beside the resolution of diplomatic ties - established at the time of King François I (1494 -1547) against the Imperials' circling of France -, France is risking to lose access to public markets in Turkey, amongst announced potential reprisals. Problems may also arise for French residents, businessmen or travelers. Above that, Turkey was our third export market. And it's not anything as we have a general great trade deficit, when the one with Turkey was highly excedentary. Of course, it could be an opportunity to rapatriate Renault and Peugeot-Citroën (PSA)'s production chains in France, as symbolic relocalisations.
In their criticisms Turks are pointing out France's past in Algeria, taking on account the muslim vote for next presidential elections, and also the "Vendean genocide" in France itself.
And they recall to us that the very basis of modern France, was established on the ground of the great Terror of 1793 (till the surrender and execution of Charette in march 1796), which denied those royal supporters and their descendance freedom and life.
Turkey is engulfing in France's dark and sad past of the infernal columns of Turreau, but also the manslaughterers of Westermann and Carrier. The last one wasn't a general but a conventional, who was declaring : "We will make a cemetary of France, rather than not regenerating in our way and missing the target we proposed to ourselves !"
And those three men wanted to eradicate methodically faithfulness to the royal cause by all means.
So Turkey discovered that "Vendée" is the Achilles' heel of France, even more than Algeria in the imaginary of French people.
In present France, the population doesn't understand what is going on at all, in this awful time of impoverishment : every week is bringing strange things unseen before, and there is a feeling of big worry mixed with unsettlement and anger after politicians - who need its votes yet.
If not an unimaginable royal rejuvenation, the box of Pandora has been opened and it is almost impossible to close it down without some collateral damages, not to mention a NATO unsettlement between previous allies.
Very strangely, France seems unconsciously remaking the "Gordian Knot", only a descendant of Alexander the Great can cut...if he wishes it however.
As a matter of fact Alexander the Great (356 - 323 BC) clearly cut this famous knot in Gordios (capital of Phrygia - present Turkey - in 333 BC), on his way to royal universal conquest implying the defeat of Persia (Iran), the apparantly allmighty superpower of that time. And nowadays Iran is still able to shiver the West with nuclear race, or the Straight of Ormuz threat game on oil trade.
Everybody knows there was a famous legend about this knot saying the one who will be able to undo it will become King of Asia, which meant already at that time King of the world. And Alexander, the invicible Macedonian (a European then) did it in an unforecasted but efficient way, because he wasn't very patient : after trying to untie it unsuccessfully, he over suddenly sliced it in two with his sword. And this symbolic gesture lead to the world we still know presently.
Archeologically, Gordios is situated near Ankara, the present capital of modern Turkey.
Nowadays, Turkey is the first economic power of the Middle East, before Saudi Arabia and Iran (which GDPs are rather equivalent till now). And it represents a little more than Saudi Arabia and Iran's joined present wealth.
It seems history is repeating, but it could be on a reverse way this time, and people have to be more cautious about what they actually want to do. It's not a time for unwise choices, mockery or despise. Roma disappeared over suddenly because Valentinian III did it for Attila's promised marriage with his niece, Porphyria, and Gaul as her dowry. But it happened to be a total farce. And we know it provoked Attila the hun's invasion of Western Europe (451-452), with Gaul and Roma as military targets, and after a short while the total collapse of the Roman empire (476).
Symbols are a very powerful driving force, and human beings are just obedient to them, as towards a "deus ex machina".
2012 seems to be a fateful year when usual wordly power is vanishing.
Economically, even public works or construction will hardly be able to counter really GDP's contraction threat, with recession caused by a debt and a financial crisis hard to ignore.
Of course we may not realize immediatly it's decreasing because of a crafty new way to finance Social Security to come in France, the so-called "social VAT" (1.6% to add ordinary one) : it will operate as a transfer of social and familial charges from employers to consumers of mainly imported goods.
As a creative bet it may work, but there is a also an economic and social risk : just imagine what would happen to General Social Security and its Family branch, in case people just decide or are obliged to buy less, because their purchasing power is simply decreasing ! Following that certain "refuge-values" including national debts, may appear to be overevaluated with quick consequences.
The most important is to avoid a contraction of GDP first, and thinking about debts after, not to fall in the same situation as Greece, and second an unescapable policy of Eurobonds to save a more and more entangled Euro zone before too late.
The year of Black Water Dragoon which started on january 23rd is in fact seen as the beginning of a long new era for Asia in China. Some astrologists even pointed out the end of darkness on the world and the coming of a totally new "Golden Dawn". But those forecastings are not automatically a good thing for human beings in fact, considering Earth first.
Even it is also recognizing the Phoenix as an extraordinary bird symbolizing Rebirth, like Japan, China is not really ready for the "Phoenix world currency" announced by "The Economist" for 2018...in 1988
["Get ready for the Phoenix !", The Economist, week of january 9th 1988]. But at the moment, it seems to be more likely in favour of a very progressively reevaluated Yuan, to catch up America from bits and bits, beside a bit slowing down growth mecanism (7.9% expected this year).
Nevertheless, nobody knows exactly what promises 2012.
We can already see that 2012 is not going to be a very peaceful year. Opening breaches of time can provoke totally unexpected and uncontrolled situations, even before people have time to fully set fire to matches.
At the Godly perils forecasted for the end of 2012, human beings want to add their own : they are so impatient to know what, and they get so bored by peace. So might it be in a full jeopardy and with boomerang effects !
As a matter of fact, it seems this year wiseness may "think" that it is safer and paradoxically "wiser" to take the first flying disc or vehicle avalaible, to leave Earth for Mars or further Cosmos !
Anyway God is very tired of too binary people who harass constantly others, by usurping his role and function, to say what is good and bad for their usual domineering need. In 2012, his sharp signs may show up unexpectedly !