mercredi 3 janvier 2018

Just science-fiction XXVII : will 2018 be the year of WW3 ?

by Jean-Jacques COURTEY, Doctor in Economic Geography, Ph. D

The topic of WW3 (World War 3) is going to be hot in 2018. That's why we are dedicating it an article in our mascot serie "Just science-fiction", by thinking about the maintenance of world peace.


Ultimately everything might be done at the international level to avoid WW3 in 2018, because of fear.
After funny negociations about meteo or the table shape, may be a small door for peace maintenance can be opened by... South Korea ?
The talks of Vancouver in Canada (from January 16th, 2018), would be in that case not totally a failure, even the American War option is already on the agenda.
America itself might be careful not to be entrapped in an unclear conflict of the third type.
Human destiny on Earth is fragile. And "nuclear winter" is getting closer dangerously.
We guess Russia - and may be India - will stand on the side of North Korea. About China, there is a question mark, as North Korean companies present on its ground, received the order to close up and pack up everything by January 10th, 2018...
And yet, people seem to consider no World War 3 is in view !

Coming back to the first war of Korea (1950 - 1953), nothing happened the way UN and Americans wanted.
Twenty two countries participated also the war as allies against North Korea - either militarily or on support.
China and USSR were on the side of North Korea, and helped it a lot - either mainly with troops for the first one, or with high tech armaments for the second one.
The main obstacle came from the supremacy in the air acquired by North Korea with the Russian Mig 15 (most pilots were from USSR).
The allied military aircrafts were ravaged by this astonishing plane, which manoeuvrability was terribly unusual.
At the end, the American new military aircraft, the Sabre, helped narrowly to avoid the defeat ; and an armistice was then signed on July 27th, 1953, the 38th parallel rebecoming the border it was before this very bloody war.

In 2018, in case of nuclear war, a lot of people may die or be badly affected by nuclear radiations or any other side effect of "nuclear winter" in Asia of course - but also further on the planet -, even they are not directly belligerent.
If more than four nukes were launched or exchanged in a short span of time, the whirpool of air in the high atmosphere will do its predictable job. And their life standard may drop as dramatically as if they were living in Panmunjom, along the DMZ (De-Militarized Zone) of the 38th parallel.
The "razor of Occam" often considered as a philosophical or even a scientific concept of good sense, is a fake.
And we are too much influenced by this principle of simplicity defended by the franciscan monk, Willliam of Occam (c. 1285 - c. 1349).
In reality, when human beings have to choose between two roads, they almost never select the simplest one or the smartest one. They have a trend to prefer useless complications, and unhappily they respect more war than peace. They do appreciate the exhibition of strength, the only real law of mankind to them, since the time of homo sapiens. This noticeable habit has to be underlined, if we want to stay realistic.

Anyhow, the conclusion might be unexpected, as other forces are involved in the process. The friendly attitude of the South Korean president, Moon-Jae-In, on January 2nd, 2018, accepting to welcome a North Korean delegation of sportsmen and sportswomen in the coming Winter Olympic games of Pyeongchang is a good sign. At the same time, talks have been proposed to North Korea on next January 9th, so seven days before the talks of Vancouver.
May be a peaceful solution can come from internal discussions to both Koreas, even it is complicated ?

Just recently also, the so-called asteroid "Ouamuamua", feared by the British observers as may be inhabited, passed Earth to disappear apparently in the Cosmos.
The name given is recalling the "Ummist" language, from the controversial Ummo which promised as far as 1950 (note the year), a powerful intervention on Earth if human beings were trying to use again nuclear bombs after Hiroshima and Nagasaki (August 6th and 9th, 1945). From the fifties, Ummists would have notably studied the Earthian way of living in Catalogna (still in Spain), and Paris (France).

It has been argued that Ummo was an hoax connected either to CIA, or KGB, or even Vatican as it considered Jesus-Christ compatible with its cosmic religion !
The only clear thing about that it is very unclear !
Ummo is said to have a particular interest in stock exchange and financial crisis (1987, 2008, and 2019).
Ummists seem to be similar to Pleiadians about their physical appearance and their various senses. But nobody has studied in what they are exactly linked. The most obvious connection could be through a common supreme God, called Woa ! And the junction of their forces might be the actual hot topic !

Just coming back to human level, the simple involvement of Russia on the side of North Korea may lead also to unexpected results.
Presently, the mysterious "Skal" (another dangerous Mig) for instance, which has got the shape of a flying saucer could surprise everybody as much as Mig 15 did !
For Russia, the present verbal conflict between the USA and North Korea is hiding a wider US ambition, controlling the whole Eurasia
So then, Russia will most likely do what it think necessary to stop it, as it has the means to do so.
Yet, in this matter swiftness will pave the way of the future, and the first move will be determining !