Uchronic history XXVII : the strange "case XYZ" between the USA and the Revolutionary France !

 by Jean-Jacques COURTEY, Doctor in Economic Geography, Ph. D

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This new article of "Uchronic history" will certainly astonish you, as you have probably never heard about it. It bursted out on July 6th, 1798 between the President of the USA, John Adams (1735 - 1826) and the Revolutionary France, with the offended report of this second President of America. Like George Washington (1732 - 1799), Adams - who had previously been the Vice-President of President Washington - had an extremely bad opinion about the Revolutionary France, who had - officially at least - guillotined its King, Louis XVI (1754 - 1793 ?). Washington was nicknaming the Revolutionaries "Apaches" : for information purpose, at that time Apaches were the most feared Indians in America. For him, French Revolutionaries were just fierce, bloody and lawless savages. Since the Treaty of Alliance or 1778 (signed in Paris), the USA have always felt a debt towards King Louis XVI and the French Royal dynasty (famous or less known) who had helped them to defeat Great Britain. And they repaid their financial debt to the French Crown. But with the Revolution in France, they stopped paying, as they estimated they had signed with the French King, and not with the French Republic !

America didn't especially appreciate the grand celebration of the "just penalty of the King" on January 21st, 1798 in Paris. It didn't see the point to be so humiliating, except to close the mouth of a Belgian monk, resembling greatly to the King, and proclaiming to be Louis XVI himself : he was advancing to have been narrowly saved from death by the Baron Jean de Batz (1754 - 1822) on January 21st, 1793, by this very cold, icy, and foggy morning. The operation of the last chance (a substitution with a double) which took place along the 52 rue Beauregard till the very close shelter of the 95 rue de Cléry in Paris (Bonne Nouvelle area), on the way leading him to the guillotine, was not ignored by America. This is also explaining why the "King's hair" had to be cut once again before the execution : the mystery is solved. De Batz was the Secretary of the King's Black Cabinet (id est his Chief of Secret Services, with a discrete shadow army of 2,000 men and women in Paris area) until the fall of the Tuileries palace on August 10th, 1792 !

X, Y, and Z (Jean-Conrad Hottinguer, Pierre Bellamy, and Lucien Hauteval, after the unveiling of their names) were the discrete representatives acting for France in the strange "XYZ case". It's the President Adams who called this twisty issue "the case XYZ" in his report published on July 6th, 1798. The USA of John Adams wanted to reduce tensions with the new France, by being considered as neutral in the war raging between Great Britain and the Revolution. But it didn't work at all. The three American envoys in Paris (Charles Cottesworth Pinckney, Elbridge Gerry, and John Marshall) were not taken seriously, and were messed around for months. The negociations which were wished in 1797, failed in 1798 because of Talleyrand (1754 - 1838). He was already unfavorably known for having betrayed the Church (as a defrocked ex-bishop of Autun), and his King whose death he had voted for !

Talleyrand demanded $ 250,000 bribes, plus £ 50,000, and a loan of $ 10 million, before any discussion could begin. He also made threats of retorsions. It hurted and scandalised America, which refused. Consequently, America and France were at a state of "quasi war", even it was undeclared (July 7th, 1798 - 1800). The smart France of Louis XVI was replaced by the awful France of Talleyrand and his acolytes. At the moment, we don't know if America protected discreetly the precious "Belgian monk". The maritime attacks from French corsairs which were carried out since 1797 on American ships, after the Jay Treaty of November 19th, 1794 between the British Crown and the USA, intensified anew. In total, more than 800 unarmed American merchant ships (because of their neutral flag), were boarded by French corsairs who plundered their cargoes !

The fear of France was huge at that time. America was afraid to be ruined by France, and to disappear as a new nation. And the immediate consequence of this quasi-war between the USA and the Revolutionary France was that the young American nation decided to create its own war marine. The rapid development of a navy worthy of the name and sufficiently imposing to command respect, became the watchword : the US Navy was effectively created in 1797, and the prestigious Marine Corps demobilized in 1785 after ten years of existence, was recreated in 1798. So then, if nowadays America is number one in the world in term of tonnage, it is coming from the helplessness and the fear felt during this fateful period of 1797 - 1800. On its side, the French Directory parted from Talleyrand in 1799, for his bad role in the strange "case XYZ" , but he quickly came back to external relations under the Consulate (involvement in the selling of Great Louisiana), the Empire... and even the Restoration !

Alexander Hamilton (1755 - 1804), who was from French origin by his mother, and from Scottish origin by his father, was one of the founding fathers of the USA. He was the champion of Federalism, and stimulated the fast industrialization of America. During the crisis between the new USA and France, he was in favor of an open declaration of war against France : he didn't obtain it because he didn't get along well with President John Adams. He had been Secretary of Treasure of the first President, George Washington, and had highly developed the resources of the USA with custom duties and taxes on whisky, to provide regular resources ; in parallel he had the idea to create a central bank to clean up credit practices, while stimulating the growth of agriculture as well ! 

Paradoxically, if Hamilton proclaimed himself to be against the French Revolution, he had nevertheless been granted the French citizenship by the French National Assembly on August, 26th, 1792 (due to his importance in the new USA). He wanted his country to be neutral during the war the British were waging against the French Revolutionaries. And it's him who had encouraged to the Jay Treaty of 1794 mentioned above with London, for trade but not only if you consider the details and the weight granted to the British Admiralty. This treaty remains to this day the cornerstone of the "special relation" maintained between the British Crown and the USA. In 1798, back to public affairs, he created a new army to protect his country against any potential attack of France, beyond the Spanish colonies. From 1800, under the leadership of Bonaparte in France (who had put an end to the Revolution on 18 Brumaire of the Year VIII - November 9th, 1799), things evolved greatly with the USA. The friendship was restored, and we are still living nowadays under this lasting recovery !

Nevertheless, the strange "case XYZ" had an enormous influence on the destiny of the USA and the world, to finally and progressively replace France as First Power in the World. It has provoked durably a shift of power between the two countries. This shift of power was even accentuated after the selling of Great Louisiana (New France), by the First Consul Napoléon Bonaparte (1769 - 1821) on April 30th, 1803. He needed money for his wars on the European continent, and abandoned Great Louisiana for only 15 million dollars. In France, when you talk about Louisiana, people think immediately about the present state of Louisiana with New Orleans, and Baton Rouge (its capital). But they do not suspect that the Great Louisiana of Louis XIV (1638 -1715) appeared to be much broader with its 2.145 million square kilometers, and encompassed a big number of other future American states : Arkansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Kansas, Colorado, Iowa, Nebraska, Minnesota, South Dakota, North Dakota, Wyoming, and Montana !

Dans le secret de l'Economie : par-delà une contraction économique mondiale, un aparté, le concept de pays "immergeant", et beaucoup plus !

par Jean-Jacques COURTEY, Docteur en Géographie Economique, Ph. D

traduit et adapté de l'anglais par lui-même

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Voici la traduction et l'adaptation en français de notre article intitulé 'Into the secret of Economics : beyond a world economic contraction, an aside, the concept of "immersing" country, and much more !', publié sur Global Politics and Economics, le 1er juillet 2025 !

A titre informatif, nous croyons devoir rappeler que le Roi Charles III (né en 1948 au Palais de Buckingham, Londres, Royaume-Uni), n'est pas seulement Roi du Royaume-Uni de Grande-Bretagne et d'Irlande du Nord, mais également quatorze fois Roi de divers pays dans le monde entier (dont le Canada, l'Australie, et la Nouvelle-Zélande), et Chef du Commonwealth (54 Etats dans le monde, dont l'Inde et le Pakistan). Il dirige "la Couronne" à travers toute la planète, discrètement mais efficacement !

Comprendre le mode de fonctionnement de "la Couronne" n'est pas chose aisée pour un français de 2025, habitué à une France rétrécie : il lui faut faire l'effort de se remémorer, par mimétisme, le Royaume de France et de Navarre de Louis XIV (1638  - 1715) jusqu'à Louis XVI (1754 - 1793 ?), avec sa "Grande Louisiane" - 2,145 millions de km2, de La Nouvelle Orléans au Sud à la frontière Canadienne au Nord...et même un peu après jusqu'au 30 avril 1803, lorsque le 1er Consul, Napoléon Bonaparte (1769 - 1821), l'a vendue pour 15 millions de Dollars aux USA nouvellement formés. La Grande Louisiane Française comprenait la Louisiane proprement dite, l'Arkansas, l'Oklahoma, le Missouri, le Kansas, le Colorado, l'Iowa, le Nebraska, le Minnesota, le Dakota du Sud, le Dakota du Nord, le Wyoming, et le Montana ! 

Il faut maintenant que la France éternelle ressente à nouveau la fierté de celle qu'elle fut naguère, et Dieu qu'elle fut grande... et le reste encore à beaucoup d'égards, pour pouvoir ressentir à nouveau la fierté de ce qu'elle sera : tel devrait-être notre nouveau slogan pour un avenir plus radieux et rempli d'espérances, qui nous redonne la foi en nous-même et en nos capacités réalisatrices !

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Nous avons décidé de créer une nouvelle série mascotte dédiée à l'économie globale dans un sens large, sans éluder ses interconnexions évidentes avec d'autres domaines: "Dans le secret de l'Economie" !

Vous allez donc découvrir le premier numéro de notre nouvelle création. Nous approcherons les faits ou les événements sous un angle inattendu et stimulant. Et nous espérons que vous aimerez ça !

Pour écrire cet article, nous avons suivi notre inspiration en surfant sur le passé, mais également sur les événements inattendus ressortant des Actualités. Vous serez certainement surpris...jusqu'au bout !

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Le concept de "contraction économique", aussi appelé récession, est ancien. En économétrie, cela signifie que le pays considéré a un taux de croissance du PIB en dessous de 0 (donc moins quelque chose). L'Economie fonctionne depuis les époques Sumérienne et Babylonienne sur le mode des flux continuels. Si l'on stoppe ces flux, ou si on les rend plus difficiles, on peut créer une contraction économique. C'est très facile, et souvent plutôt rapide. Cela se produit quand une Dépression succède à l'Expansion. Et ses caractéristiques sont une contraction brutale de l'activité (diminution du PIB, diminution des investissements...). L'économie d'un pays est dite en Contraction ou en Récession, si la croissance est négative durant au moins trois mois consécutifs, ou s'il y a un simple ralentissement de la croissance à un niveau à peine au-dessus de 0%. Ce pourrait être le cas de la France en 2025 par exemple, où le taux de croissance attendu était estimé entre 0,5% et 0,7% au début de l'année. Cependant le taux de croissance enregistré au premier trimestre n'était que de 0,1%. Concernant les USA, leur taux de croissance pourrait diminuer de 2,8% l'année dernière à 1,4% cette année. Ce pourcentage peut être comparé à la prévision de 1,1% pour l'Union Européenne, et aux 0,9% attendus pour la zone Euro. Concernant l'Allemagne, aucune croissance n'était projetée pour 2025, et cependant au 1er trimestre une petite augmentation de 0,4% a été enregistrée. De façon contradictoire, on s'attend à ce que l'Allemagne soit la plus touchée en 2025 (après un an de récession) par la guerre des tarifs douaniers avec l'Amérique, à cause de ses voitures, de son acier, et de ses produits chimiques. Mais il est vrai que depuis le Chancelier Bismarck (1815 - 1898), les Exportations ont été le fer de lance de l'économie allemande.                                                                                                                           Une autre base importante de l'économie depuis l'aube des temps est "l'Effet de Levier". qui aide un pays (ou même un individu) à s'enrichir et à devenir puissant. On peut en trouver une illustration dans la fameuse lettre "k", que John Maynard Keynes (1883 - 1946) a introduite au siècle dernier, maintenant appelée le "multiplicateur keynésien", même si elle existait déjà à l'époque de Sumer et de Babylone. Il ne faut pas oublier que "l'écriture cunéiforme" a été créée initialement pour des raisons économiques et commerciales ! Suivant la logique de Lord Keynes dans sa "Théorie générale de l'emploi, de l'intérêt, et de la monnaie" (1936), une dépense publique, considérée comme un investissement, provoque une augmentation des dépenses des ménages, et donc de la consommation. Et cet effet peut être mesuré mathématiquement avec le coefficient "k", qui est égal à 1/1-c, où c représente la propension à consommer. Keynes considérait le besoin d'un budget public en expansion pour stimuler la croissance dans une situation de Dépression de la demande privée, après le célèbre krach de 1929. Mais de nos jours, il n'est plus compris à cause des illusions trompeuses entretenues au sujet du fardeau du remboursement de la dette : en France, par exemple, il a en fait été réduit entre 2011 et 2020 à cause de l'inflation, et il représente actuellement en réalité environ 2% de notre PIB (58 milliards d'Euros, arrondis à 60 ?), ce qui ne devrait pas être si alarmant. Imaginez un instant un foyer qui devrait rembourser chaque année 2% de ses revenus globaux pour payer ses dettes : dire qu'il est en faillite apparaîtrait complètement idiot. Ce qui est amusant, c'est que le Japon et les USA sont plus zen que nous avec leurs Dettes respectives (266% et 124% de leur PIB, comparés à nos 114% seulement). Au lieu de parler de "Mur de la dette" en France, on devrait plutôt parler de "Mur des aides publiques aux entreprises" (presque quatre fois le montant du remboursement annuel de la dette actuellement), avec une augmentation en flèche depuis 2012. Une réallocation décisive de 26% de l'aide publique au remboursement de la dette , sans toucher au modèle social ni à la Sécurité Sociale, serait du meilleur effet ! 

La contraction potentielle annoncée de l'économie mondiale due à la guerre des tarifs douaniers, introduite par le Président Trump (né à New York en 1946), est difficile à comprendre et à suivre...sauf si l'on garde à l'esprit la lutte qui a opposé ces anciennes colonies britanniques à la Couronne Britannique depuis 1775, et 1776 bien sûr. Si la première guerre d'indépendance de l'Amérique fut gagnée par les Insurgents en 1783 avec l'aide du Roi de France et de Navarre, Louis XVI (1754 - 1793 ?), la seconde en 1812-1815 se termina plutôt par un compromis (avec un retour au "Statu quo ante bellum"). La paix fut signée en 1815, un an après le bombardement de la première Maison Blanche et la destruction de la capitale américaine. L'occupation de Washington par les Tuniques Rouges Canadiennes, à cette occasion, explique pourquoi encore de nos jours le District de Columbia est traité tout à fait différemment du reste des USA. Cette seconde guerre fut lancée par les nouveaux USA, qui essayèrent sans succès, d'envahir le Canada : ils voulaient que les Canadiens deviennent Américains (déjà) ! Ensuite, le Canada représentant la Couronne Britannique, envahit avec succès les ex-colonies britanniques d'Amérique : la guerre Britannico-Américaine de 1812-1815 fut en fait une guerre Canado-Américaine. Et officiellement, elle n'eut aucun vainqueur, sauf que les Britanniques purent retrouver leur influence perdue en 1783. Cette influence, notamment économique et commerciale, s'accrut à nouveau après la Guerre de Sécession (1861 - 1865), et la mort du Président Lincoln (1809 - 1865), quand les banques britanniques renforcèrent leur ascendant sur le Dollar à travers les trusts, et encore davantage en 1913 avec la création de la Fed (Federal Reserve Bank) sur l'Île Jekyll - Géorgie, USA. La Fed n'est pas du tout un organisme public, mais un organisme totalement privé et plutôt indépendant, fait d'un conglomérat de banques privées : en 2018, la richesse combinée de ces banques était déjà estimée à plus de 300 trillions de Dollars. A titre de comparaison, la dette publique des USA était de 36,2 trillions de Dollars à la fin de 2024.  La dette obligataire des USA envers la Fed est donc une énorme contrainte. Ils sont littéralement entre ses mains, même si on nommait un co-Président de la Fed pour abaisser les taux d'intérêts. Il ne faut pas oublier qu'à la différence de la plupart des pays, l'Amérique n'est pas propriétaire de sa propre monnaie : elle paye chaque mois un lourd loyer pour l'émission de ses billets de banque (les Dollars), et leur circulation à travers le monde. Les Présidents Abraham Lincoln et John Fitzgerald Kennedy (1917 - 1963) voulaient que les Etats-Unis soient propriétaires de leur propre monnaie, mais ils ont échoué. Et le Président Ronald Reagan (1911 -2004), qui avait la même idée, recula finalement. Par coincidence, il échappa à la mort de justesse après la tentative d'assassinat du 30 mars 1981 à Washington, avec des balles explosives appelées "Dévastratices". Il est toujours dangereux pour un gouvernement de jouer avec la monnaie et sa liquidité : les flux ne doivent jamais être interrompus. Donc, la contraction économique potentielle annoncée présentement est un signe que cette vieille guerre a recommencé, pour le contrôle du monde: il est important de savoir qui va avoir le leadership à l'intérieur du monde Anglo-Saxon. Pourtant, en moins de quatre ans maintenant, il est plutôt douteux que le Canada devienne Américain (comme dans la revendication de 1812), et que la Couronne Britannique perde son pouvoir multiséculaire, en dépit des frictions. Le Courant Hamiltonien (favorable à un compromis avec la Grande-Bretagne et la Couronne) est toujours très puissant et influent aux USA. Et il faut se souvenir que la Couronne est considérée comme l'héritière et la successeuse des Empires Babyloniens et Sumériens, dans le temps présent !

En guise d'aparté, concernant la période précédant l'Empire de Sumer en Mésopotamie (actuellement appelé l'Irak), il est difficile de savoir quels étaient les concepts "Obeidiens". Pourtant, il est clairement démontré maintenant que les "Obeidiens" n'étaient pas du tout des hommes et des femmes préhistoriques, mais des êtres avec un corps humain et un visage de serpent ou de lézard, fiers de leurs mystérieuses origines. Avaient-ils une écriture ? La réponse n'est pas claire, car il se pourrait que beaucoup de spécialistes aient contourné la question, en se concentrant seulement sur les poteries retrouvées. Cependant, la question fondamentale qui se pose est celle de savoir quand un dessin est juste ce dont il a l'air, ou au contraire un signe d'écriture ? Apparemment, ils accordaient une grande importance à la maternité et aux bébés, si l'on considère les figurines découvertes près d'Eridu et d'Ur (considérée comme les plus vieilles villes du monde). Et le statut de la femme semble avoir été très élevé dans leur société. De nos jours, on peut même acheter des reproductions de femmes ophidiennes allaitant leurs bébés ophidiens sur Internet. La période Obeidienne est en réalité très peu étudiée, parce qu'elle cause un grand problème "visuel" aux archéologues et aux historiens classiques. Ils essaient d'introduire des biais cognitifs pour ne pas voir ce qu'ils voient, en imaginant maladroitement des explications branlantes. Etrangement, derrière la "Chaise de la Résurrection" de la salle d'audience papale, appelée "Hall Paul VI", à la fois au Vatican et à Rome (Italie), il y a une très grande sculpture représentant "Jésus après l'Apocalypse atomique", depuis 1977 : ce chef-d'oeuvre de Pericle Fazzini (1913 - 1987) est juste derrière le trône du Pape, et il ressemble beaucoup à un homme ophidien Obeidien. Il a aussi des traits physiques communs, étonnamment, avec la vieille figure d'El, le Dieu du Désert du Proche-Orient, qu'il soit représenté seul ou avec son Ashéra. Cet artiste appelait sa scultpture "Bozzetto per la Resurrezione" (Croquis pour la Résurrection, en français). Donc l'Histoire, la Géographie, l'Economie, et la Religion qui étaient initialement interconnectées ont en fait commencé un peu avant Sumer...à Tell-el-Obeid (Sud de l'Irak). Rome reconnaît-elle de façon discrète et artistique notre héritage originel, ignoré et mal compris ? 

Le concept de "pays immergeant" est à l'opposé plutôt nouveau : c'est exactement le contraire d'un pays émergent. C'est la caractéristique d'un pays anciennement dominant qui continue à perdre du terrain et de la vitalité. Si le processus s'inverse, un pays immergeant peut devenir à son tour un pays émergent, ou plus précisément réémergent. Ce concept est un néologisme que nous introduisons aujourd'hui en politique et en économie globales. Donc, normalement vous ne trouverez aucune documentation à ce sujet. Ce type de pays n'est plus convergent avec les pays émergents, qui maintenant sont devenus des pays développés. Vous pouvez essayer de trouver par vous-mêmes quels pays pourraient être appelés de cette façon de nos jours. Un "pays immergeant" est un pays où les décisions économiques sont prises dans la mauvaise direction, de manière désordonnée et soudaine. L'irrationnalité prend possession des experts et des décideurs, d'une façon qui peut apparaître tout à fait suicidaire pour leur monnaie et ses flux, leur économie, leur marché obligataire et leur marché d'actions, et leurs habitants. D'une certaine façon, cela peut devenir la marque d'un pays en train de mourir, dont la civilisation et la culture semblent soudain s'évaporer après une vague de chaleur. Comme le phénomène est collectif et paroxystique, il est extrêmement difficile à contenir. Ce phénomène étrange est lié à la profonde décadence et à la cupidité débridée de son oligarchie. Dans une "démocrature" (contraction et bizarre mélange de "démocratie" et de "dictature"), l'immersion peut être plutôt rapide. La raison vient de l'absence de contre-pouvoirs sérieux et effectifs. C'est presque comme s'il y avait une seule vérité officielle, et rien d'autre. Ici, nous sommes à la culmination du paradigme Orwéllien ("1984"), avec sa fatigante Nov'langue et la surveillance de "Big Brother". Etre dans un pays immergeant est pire que d'être dans un Etat en contraction économique. En effet, un "pays immergeant" peut devenir un pays finissant, qui se noie dans le brouhaha des bla bla bla, avec une peur induite de tout et de rien, comme mode de domination quotidien des citoyens. Nous vous laisserons trouver par vous-même des exemples de pays immergeants, avec cette grille de lecture : vous pourriez être étonnés. A titre d'indice supplémentaire, ce type de pays encourage ses citoyens à abandonner volontairement de plus en plus de libertés jour après jour, sous la promesse illusoire de sécurité. Mais la vérité, c'est qu'à la fin, ils n'auront rien s'ils ne sont pas circonspects, en y réfléchissant à deux fois ! 

L'équation du PIB (Produit Intérieur Brut) est la suivante :  PIB = C + I + G + (ou -) X

C représente la Consommation, I l'investissement, G les dépenses gouvernementales, et X le solde de la balance commerciale.                                                                                               Dans le cas de la France, X est négatif (- 1,2%), les Importations dépassant les Exportations depuis 2004, après une période positive entre 1994 et 2003. C'est l'énorme différence avec notre principal partenaire européen, l'Allemagne (+ 36,1% en 2024). Ceci dit, dans les écoles de commerce françaises c'est maintenant la fonction Achats qui est valorisée, et pas du tout la fonction Exports : en suivant ce chemin plus facile, il n'est pas surprenant qu'X soit (et doive demeurer) négatif pour la France.                                           G (1670 milliards d'Euros l'année dernière, dans notre pays), est la cible de nombreuses attaques car tout le monde, veut en réduire drastiquement et un peu follement le montant : les gens réalisent-t-ils que G compte pour 57,1% de notre PIB ? Traditionnellement, G est important en France depuis Louis XIV (1638 - 1715), quand son Royaume devint la Première Puissance du Monde : à son époque, G atteint même 59% du PIB français. C'était l'époque des premiers régimes spéciaux octroyés par le Roi entre 1673 et 1709 (le côté social de sa Monarchie). Maintenant, nous sommes seulement n°7, ou même n°24, si l'on considère la classification du PIB en parité de pouvoir d'achat par habitant (2024). Il faut noter que si l'on réduit G excessivement et surtout trop soudainement, une contraction économique catastrophique s'ensuivra immédiatement. Un objectif inavoué de 28% est tout à fait démentiel. G représente tout de même 48,4% du PIB allemand par exemple (49% pour l'Union Européenne) : bien qu'en récession, l'Allemagne est devenue la 3ème Puissance Economique Mondiale l'an dernier en doublant le Japon, et se trouvait juste derrière une Chine stable et une Amérique encore prévisible.                                                                                                                                               Donc la croissance en France peut seulement provenir de l'augmentation de la Consommation ou de celle de l'Investissement. Pour le moment, la Consommation n'augmente pas beaucoup à cause du manque de pourvoir d'achat des ménages : ces derniers préfèrent épargner du fait de leur anxiété à propos de l'avenir. De ce fait, l'Investissement reste le seul levier pour stimuler la croissance. Ceci explique pourquoi nous voulons attirer les investissements mondiaux en France. Et dans ce but, nous offrons des aides publiques aux investisseurs potentiels. Le seul problème, c'est que ces derniers, et notamment les plus gros ont tendance à prendre les aides publiques.. et à s'en aller une fois qu'ils les ont obtenues en entier. C'est un peu comme si nous payions des investisseurs pour venir et créer des sociétés, ou racheter des compagnies nationales (dans la plupart des cas). L'exemple du secteur de l'acier à Dunkerque (Nord) et dans sa région est particulièrement frappant, mais il est loin d'être le seul. Ces sociétés tendent à investir en France à travers des LBO (Leveraged Buy-out, ou "Rachats avec effet de levier"). Dans un LBO habituellement l'acheteur apporte seulement 10% du capital via une société holding, le reste étant payé par la compagnie achetée elle-même à travers des prêts. C'est très avantageux pour les investisseurs, mais une vraie perte pour la "compagnie-proie"...et pour la France in fine. Si l'on ajoute les aides publiques (sans réelles contreparties habituellement), on peut facilement arriver à plus de 100%. Habituellement, les promesses de créations d'emplois ne sont pas pleinement respectées, et lorsque la société holding s'en va à la fin du processus, qui peut prendre plusieurs années, la plupart des employés se retrouvent sur le carreau. Et il est très rare pour une société holding de rembourser les aides publiques reçues, même partiellement. Paradoxalement, dans le cas de Dunkerque et de son industrie de l'acier par exemple, il serait au final moins coûteux, d'oser faire une Nationalisation suzeraine des moyens de production. Mais il faudrait un grand stratège pour accomplir cela, souverainement ! 

Pour faire une référence au passé, un Président du Conseil oublié du XIXème siècle, eu un effet efficace et stimulant sur le redressement de la France après la chute Napoléonienne à Waterloo (1815). Il était à la fois Président du Conseil et Ministre des Finances : cet ancien Officier de marine de Louis XVI, qui venait du Sud-Ouest de la France et avait parfois le sang chaud, était Joseph de Villèle (1773 - 1854). Il officia dès la fin du règne de Louis XVIII (1755 - 1824), durant la seconde Restauration. Il était justement le Père de l'industrialisation du port de Dunkerque et de sa région (Nord), et le sauveur de l'agriculture française, qui connut un boom surprenant et inattendu (1er rang dans toute l'Europe, Russie incluse). C'est également lui qui réussit en Espagne , là où Napoléon Ier (1769 - 1821)  avait échoué, avec l'époustouflante victoire du Fort du Trocadéro en 1823 (dans l'entrée du port de Cadix en Andalousie), en étonnant toute l'Europe : cet événement incroyable, pour une campagne militaire plutôt courte, redonna soudainement à la France son statut de Grande Puissance Militaire...perdu près de Bruxelles, à Waterloo (Belgique), en 1815 par Napoléon Ier face au Duc de Wellington (1769 - 1852). Ceci fut mis en lumière par le célèbre Vicomte François-René de Chateaubriand (1768 - 1848), qui était encore son Ministre des Affaires Etrangères à cette époque. Il était si étonnant, excellent, et ferme dans sa direction du Royaume de France, que le Roi suivant, Charles X (1757 - 1836) le maintint à la tête de l'Etat. Lorsque le Comte Joseph de Villèle décida de démissionner de sa double position début janvier 1828, il laissa un legs impressionnant à la France : un budget en notable expansion, avec un excédent budgétaire tout à fait remarquable. Comme il refusa définitivement de revenir au pouvoir, le 31 mars 1830, parce qu'il avait été trahi par 70 députés Ultra-royalistes, la fin du règne de Charles X vint rapidement. La Révolution se produisit du 27 au 29 juillet 1830, les célèbres "Trois Glorieuses". Et cette seconde révolution bourgeoise fut marquée par l'avènement d'un nouveau Roi, Louis-Philippe Ier (1773 - 1850), de la branche cadette des Bourbons-Orléans, à l'instigation du Marquis de la Fayette (1757 - 1834) !

De nos jours, l'Economie semble revenir au XIXème siècle, ce qui veut dire en fait l'effacement des règles internationales, et chacun pour soi. C'est comme si tout le monde voulait faire du XXIème siècle un nouveau XIXème siècle. Pour en revenir au cas de la France, un leader très fort et aussi coriace que Joseph de Villèle - maintenant étrangement oublié, mais pas pour longtemps - n'aurait pas hésité à prendre une grande décision s'il vivait encore et était toujours au pouvoir aujourd'hui. Les aides publiques représentaient environ 223 milliards d'Euros en 2024 (7,7% de notre PIB, et presque quatre fois le montant du remboursement annuel de la Dette comme déjà souligné), et la France cherche 40 milliards d'Euros pour finaliser le budget pour 2026. En 1979, les aides publiques aux entreprises représentaient seulement 3% de notre PIB, à titre de comparaison utile !                                                                                                                              De là, voyant l'inefficacité et le coût excessif des aides publiques aux entreprises, vous pouvez facilement deviner quelles coupes budgétaires le Comte de Villèle aurait faites sans hésiter - même si vous n'êtes pas économiste. A titre de rappel historique, c'est lui qui a dissous la Garde Nationale créée le 15 juillet 1789 (sur l'insistance de Charles X), parce qu'elle avait osé manifester contre lui et ses ministres (Dissolution du 29 avril 1827). Donc, du simple soldat au général, tout le monde s'est retrouvé simple civil du jour au lendemain. C'était un 1789 à l'envers, mais ça n'a pas duré, car en 1830 elle a été rétablie, avec le Marquis de la Fayette à sa tête : seuls les plus gros contribuables pouvaient en être membres, pas les gens ordinaires !

Même si le "sourire du Dollar" est toujours très présent, l'économie américaine réelle (celle qui ne dépend pas des marchés d'actions) pourrait souffrir de la contraction économique annoncée. Le ralentissement américain existe déjà. Et il pourrait être accentué par le manque de main d'oeuvre étrangère, qui risque de pénaliser des secteurs entiers de l'économie. Ceci dit même les marchés d'actions et le marché obligataire devrait continuer leur forte tendance au yoyo. Et l'émergence inattendue d'un "ailleurs" plus stable pourrait bien se produire. Car la possibilité d'un ralentissement économique affectant d'autres pays, semble être devenue plus qu'une prédiction.                                       En 2025, l'économie mondiale apparaît malade, instable, et morose, avec un scénario de guerre sans fin en Ukraine, et une nouvelle guerre au Proche et au Moyen-Orient entre Israel et l'Iran provoquant un étrange contre-effet. A cet égard, un blocus du détroit d'Ormuz par l'Iran (et donc des supertankers de pétrole et de gaz naturel liquéfié), aurait pu avoir un grand impact sur la contraction de l'économie mondiale, sans le cessez-le-feu du 24 juin du Président Trump entre l'Iran et Israel.                                                                     Mais il est vrai que pendant que les hostilités continuent entre l'Ukraine et la Russie, au moins personne ne peut exploiter les ressources naturelles et énergétiques de l'Ukraine, ni ses terres rares, où qu'elles soient dans le pays : l'Accord Américano-Ukrainien du 30 avril 2025 demeurera inappliqué entre temps. Paradoxalement, le pays est plus indépendant à travers la guerre, qu'il ne le serait en cas de vrai cessez-le-feu ou de paix (improbable). Cependant, beaucoup des deux côtés et à l'extérieur aussi, souhaite trouver une issue à ce conflit. Pour le moment seul un armistice à la façon Coréenne (Armistice de Panmunjeom du 27juillet 1953), sans traité de paix semble possible ! 

La chose inattendue provoquant un Contre-Effet a été la nouvelle guerre entre Israel et l'Iran, concernant la menace constituée par la nouvelle position potentielle et peu claire de ce dernier comme puissance nucléaire. Cela s'est produit quatre jours après que le rapport de l'AIEA du 9 juin 2025 : selon lui, l'Iran pouvait enrichir 409 kg d'uranium de 60 à 90% en seulement trois jours, pour produire ensuite au moins 10 bombes nucléaires. L'intervention militaire d'Israel en Iran le vendredi 13 juin 2025, mettait incidemment en lumière la position de la Russie en tant que Médiateur potentiel entre les deux belligérants. De plus, selon la Maison Blanche, la bombe atomique iranienne pouvait être assemblée en seulement quinze jours. Et le vendredi 20 juin 2025, vers 9 heures du soir (heure locale), un tremblement de terre de magnitude 5,1 fut enregistré près d'un site nucléaire de la région de Qom : était-ce le premier essai souterrain de la bombe atomique iranienne, ou seulement un séisme occasionnel comme il peut en arriver dans cette zone ? Initialement, c'est principalement la surface des principaux sites nucléaires iraniens qui a été détruite par les avions de guerre israéliens, sans qu'aucune trace de radioactivité n'ait été détectée curieusement...Cependant, on a dit que le site principal de Natanz avait été complètement détruit, parmi d'autres dommages incluant non seulement des officiels, mais aussi des civils...avec de fortes ripostes de drones et de missiles iraniens sur Israel, à travers son Dôme de Fer. Pourtant, le site nucléaire de Fordo qui est abrité au sein d'une montagne, était encore opératif. Dans tous les cas, la difficulté était liée à la profondeur des installations (80 m ou beaucoup plus). La GBU57, une mégabombe US de 13 tonnes peut seulement atteindre 60 m de profondeur. Cependant, elle a été utilisée par sept B2 américains sur Fordo (situé à 35 km de Qom) à 12 reprises. et sur Natanz (à nouveau) à deux reprises. - le dimanche 22 juin 2025, très tôt le matin. Le site d'Ispahan quant à lui a été bombardé avec des missiles Tomahawk, comme Natanz également, à partir d'un sous-marin américain. La chose étrange, c'est que la montagne de granit de Fordo ne s'est pas du tout effondrée, même si le site a été endommagé. C'était comme si la montagne était vivante et avait avalé les 12 méga-explosions et leur souffle, en produisant in fine un nuage noir dans l'atmosphère. A la fin, c'était comme s'il n'y avait plus trace d'aucun stock d'uranium hautement enrichi dans ces trois sites. A nouveau, aucune contamination radioactive ne fut détectée, même s'il y eut quelques personnes légèrement blessées !

Le point principal de cette mini-guerre est qu'elle s'est terminée très soudainement, en queue de poisson, le 24 juin 2025 (Jour de la Saint Jean). Etait-elle liée à une libération allégorique du Saoshyant Zoroastrien (sous la forme du nuage noir mentionné ci-dessus), de sa prison-forteresse de Fordo justement ? Saoshyant et Saint Jean également, étaient chers aux Illuminati de Bavière et à leur fondateur, Johann Adam Weishaupt (!748 - 1830). Cette guerre était réellement bizarre : c'était un peu comme si nous étions dans la 5ème dimension !                                                                                           En parallèle, le Pouvoir en Iran est apparu affaibli : pendant un moment s'est posée la question d'un changement de régime, particulièrement avec la possibilité d'une restauration de la Monarchie Pahlavi après 46 ans de Révolution. Pourtant, avec le retour abrupt à la paix, le régime semble avoir été sauvé de justesse, et les espérances du peuple iranien pour la liberté se sont évanouies. Si Saoshyant (le "Sauveur suprême" de l'ultime renouveau ou "Frashkan") pouvait êre davantage qu'un personnage allégorique, comme prédit par le Zend-Avesta et par Zarathoustra, personne ne sait à quel point son intervention pourrait s'avérer imprévisible. On peut seulement remarquer que l'ancienne religion d'Ahura-Mazda (le Dieu-ailé), a régné sur la Perse du 10ème siècle avant Jésus-Christ au 7ème siècle de notre ère, et qu'elle existe toujours !                                                 On nous a dit que l'Air-force iranienne était comme inexistante. Dès lors, cette inexistence rend tout le travail de leurrage des B2 américains dans leur approche de l'Iran et son survol quelque peu étrange, et un peu exagéré. Bizarrement, en dépit des liens étroits existant entre la Chine et l'Iran, ce dernier n'avait aucun avion de guerre Chengdu. Mais cela devrait changer l'année prochaine, avec les premières livraisons. En effet, durant la très récente mini-guerre entre l'Inde et le Pakistan au Cachemire-et-Jammu (22 avril 2025 - 10 mai 2025), les Chengdus du Pakistan comme les "J-10C Vigoureux Dragons" (des avions de guerre multirôles) se sont fait remarquer. Ils ont été capables d'infliger d'étonnantes pertes à l'Air-force indienne, avec leurs missiles à double impulsion PL-15 (à Mach 5), dans la nuit du 8 mai 2025. Les J-10C ont été la soudaine Révélation de cette surprenante mini-guerre. De plus, les radars quantiques chinois pourraient rendre la technologie "furtive" inopérante. Si le bombardier B2 furtif semble être un produit direct de la rétro-ingéniérie "Zeta" (remontant à 1947), sauf pour la vitesse, le J-10C chinois pourrait ressembler à une rétro-ingéniérie de type "Vénusien" (plus récente donc) allégoriquement ! 

Concernant la situation de la France, les choses sont peu claires et chaotiques ou contradictoires, comme d'habitude. Les "paroles performatives" ne sont pas la tasse de thé des Français. Les "paroles performatives" sont supposées être capable de changer la réalité politique, économique, et sociale qu'elles décrivent, à travers une communication intensive (pour réaliser des applications sensorielles). Bien sûr, la pensée magique n'est pas nécessairement une mauvaise chose, quand elle est positive comme dans la méthode Coué. Mais utiliser la même méthode à l'envers pour nous déprimer n'est pas du meilleur effet. De fait, dire fermement et de façon répétée quelque chose de mal compris, ne le fait pas forcément se réaliser. "Tout français qui ose penser par lui-même est un héros", disait Stendhal (1783 - 1842). La seule chose de sûre, c'est que l'entité géographique vivante appelée "France", est apparue jusqu'à maintenant comme plus forte que ses élites en plein blues, et ses leaders en pleine confusion (non stratégique). C'est un peu comme si la "France éternelle", l'ancien Royaume des crapauds et des grenouilles, refusait obstinément de mourir, et voulait se libérer des mirages d'une "hypnocratie" sans beaucoup d'espoir. Nous vous renvoyons à ce sujet à notre article du 4 octobre 2021, intitulé "Uchronic history XV : "Ranae regem petunt" or the missed surprise of Robespierre !" !

Dans le secret de l'Economie : par-delà une contraction économique, un aparté, le concept de "pays immergeant", et davantage ! (Addendum)

par Jean-Jacques COURTEY, Docteur en Géographie Economique, Ph. D

traduit et adapté de l'anglais par lui-même

___________________________ 

Voici la traduction et l'adaptation en français de notre article intitulé 'Into the secret of Economics : beyond an economic contraction, an aside, the concept of "immersing country", and much more ! (Addendum)', publié sur Global Politics and Economics le 17 juillet 2025. C'était deux jours après que le montant des restrictions budgétaires envisagé ait été ajusté à 43,8 milliards d'Euros (au lieu de 40). Aujourd'hui, tout le monde parle des 44 milliards d'Euros du projet de budget pour 2026 du Premier Ministre, François Bayrou (né à Bordères - Pyrénées-Atlantiques - en 1951, et donc lui-même un "boomer"). Bien évidemment, nous attendons comme tous les Français sa venue à l'Assemblée Nationale le lundi 8 septembre 2025 à 15 heures pour faire sa déclaration de politique générale, en sollicitant la confiance des députés, en vertu de l'article 49-1 de la Constitution, le vote décisif étant prévu pour 16 heures environ (en fait probablement plus tard dans la journée) !

D'abord, on ne voit pas bien en quoi le projet de budget proposé répond au problème lancinant de la dette : il y en a même qui répètent comme des magnétophones "la dette, la dette, la dette", en risquant d'affoler bien inutilement les marchés financiers, et en faisant monter bêtement les taux d'intérêt. Il faut garder son sang froid. Il est trop facile de s'enfermer dans de faux schémas de pensée, en "zappant" toute réflexion. Or, pour un analyste financier averti,  le problème budgétaire majeur de la France saute aux yeux : c'est en réalité celui des aides publiques aux entreprises, dont au moins la moitié ne sont pas fléchées (et pourtant pas incontrôlables), et pas celui du remboursement annuel de la dette (tout à fait sous contrôle quant à lui, si l'on ne sème pas la panique de façon exagérée : actuellement 2% du PIB) !

Rapprochez juste le montant du déficit public de 2024 et celui des aides publiques aux entreprises, et vous constaterez qu'ils sont d'un ordre de grandeur pas très éloigné. Dans un pays qui se targue d'être si cartésien et d'avoir un esprit aussi mathématique, le problème du déficit public devrait être d'autant plus facile à résoudre, ne serait-ce que par une réallocation partielle des ressources en excédent dans un secteur aussi clinquant audit remboursement annuel de la dette, même si ça n'en prend pas du tout le chemin !

De fait, le montant total des aides publiques aux entreprises représente presque quatre fois le montant annuel du remboursement de la dette, pour information. Déjà, le fait que leur montant ne soit qu'une estimation est un problème : 211 milliards d'Euros en 2024 selon les éléments apportés au Sénat cette année, ou 223 milliards d'Euros au grand total (avec un écart de 12 milliards d'Euros), selon le périmètre retenu ? Il n'est pas trop tard pour redresser la barre, et assainir les finances publiques  !

En tenant compte du déficit budgétaire de 2024 (168,6 Milliards d'Euros selon l'INSEE), nous estimons ainsi qu'un effort budgétaire volontariste peut - et doit - être fait sur le poste des aides publiques aux entreprises dont une partie ne se justifie pas, même dans la partie fléchée et identifiée de 108 Milliards d'Euros (recensée par le MEDEF, le patronat français). Si nous décidons de consentir un effort budgétaire, en ramenant ce montant à 62 Milliards d'Euros, les 46 Milliards de surplus dégagés vont pouvoir s'ajouter aux 103 à 115 Milliards d'Euros de la partie non fléchée et non identifiée, qui se justifient encore moins. Par ailleurs, on peut faire davantage d'économies sur les quelques 700 ODAC (Organismes Divers d'Administration centrale), qui comptent nombre de doublons, et ont coûté 140 milliards d'Euros en 2024 : 30 milliards d'Euros d'économies (soit seulement 4,3% de leur budget annuel respectif en moyenne), paraissent un montant beaucoup plus sérieux que seulement 3 milliards d'Euros !

C'est pourquoi, il nous paraît logique d'être très concret et audacieux, en proposant carrément à la réflexion, un budget en Expansion et en net Excédent pour 2026, à l'instar du budget du Comte de Villèle (1773 - 1854) pour 1828 : ce budget fut à son époque considéré comme le plus stupéfiant et le plus imposant de toute l'histoire de France ! A travers notre ambitieux projet de contre-budget sans aucun déficit public pour 2026, il s'agirait de mettre également totalement fin au "trou noir" de l'économie française (entre 103 et 115 Milliards d'Euros en 2024, comme déjà indiqué), dû à l'énorme dérive des aides publiques aux entreprises, pour la partie pas clairement identifiée dont on parle assez peu curieusement. Il nous faut reprendre les rênes en mains dans ce secteur, pour le bien de la France et des Français ! 

Aucune année blanche, avec des conséquences négatives immédiates sur la Consommation, autre composante importante du PIB, pour n'importe quelle catégorie que ce soit (retraités, fonctionnaires, étudiants, bénéficiaires de prestations sociales ou de la prime d'activité, contribuables, etc.), n'est donc nécessaire. Et ce que nous proposons est un redressement spectaculaire, énergique, et inattendu de la France, sans toucher aucunement à la Sécurité Sociale (et donc aux plus faibles et aux malades, ce qui pourrait apparaître comme antichrétien), ni au modèle social actuel par d'injustes mesures : nous utilisons seulement différemment les 179 à 191 milliards d'Euros retrouvés à travers un nouvel arrangement mathématique. Il faut à tout prix corréler à nouveau la France avec sa grande histoire, en remettant les choses en perspective (avec un nouveau mot d'ordre,  le "perspectivisme économique et budgétaire") !

                                                                         ******

Comme la situation est périlleuse pour notre pays, la France, nous croyons devoir intervenir au nom de nos ancêtres pour prévenir la catastrophe économique à venir. Le Projet de budget pour 2026 est en fait le choix d'une contraction économique du PIB français d'au-moins 2, 2%, si l'inflation est réellement maintenue à 1% pour cette année, et sans impact de la guerre des tarifs douaniers introduite par l'Amérique - ce qui est très douteux, étant donné les droits de 30% actuellement avancés par le Président Trump pour le 1er août 2025 !

Nous rappelons à nouveau l'équation du PIB (Produit Intérieur Brut) :                                  PIB = C + I + G + (ou -) X, où C représente la Consommation, I l'Investissement, G les Dépenses Gouvernementales, et X le Solde la Balance Commerciale. Et nous répétons qu'on ne peut pas toucher à G sans précaution (environ 1690 milliards d'Euros en 2024, soit 57,1% de notre PIB) !

Il n'est pas interdit de ne rien comprendre à l'Economie, ou même de refuser d'y comprendre quelque chose. Après tout, comme on nous le répète presque tous les jours nous sommes en République, et donc libres d'être et de penser ce que nous voulons. Mais quand les personnes sont aux responsabilités, il est évidemment requis qu'elles y comprennent quelque chose. Si ces personnes sentent qu'elles ne peuvent remplir leur charge, elles devraient s'en aller d'elles-mêmes pour le bien de la France et de l'intérêt général !

Les non-sens habituels, avec des milliards d'Euros qui flottent on ne sait où, ne devraient pas être acceptés aussi facilement par les Français, parce que c'est leur avenir qui est en jeu. Comme nous l'avons souligné dans notre article principal sous le même titre, publié sur Global Politics and Economics le 1er juillet 2025, le problème majeur de la France n'est pas le "Mur présupposé de la Dette", mais le "Mur des Aides Publiques aux Entreprises". Hier, à la télévision, il a même été reconnu que l'on ne sait pas où vont au moins la moitié de ces aides publiques (plus de 100 milliards d'Euros donc), ce qui est incroyable !

Avec notre solution de réallouer 26% des Aides Publiques au remboursement annuel de la dette, sans toucher du tout à la Sécurité Sociale ni au modèle social, c'est le montant total du remboursement de la Dette (environ 60 milliards d'Euros) qui serait couvert. Ce pourcentage a été calculé mathématiquement pour cela. Avec cette solution, aucune année blanche, causant incidemment une chute d'au minimum 2,2% de notre PIB (soit 1% dû à l'inflation + 1,2% de déficit structurel de notre balance commerciale), n'est  nécessaire !

Storia ucronica n°XXVI : le enigmatiche punizioni degli assassini e nemici della Principessa di Lamballe !

per Jean-Jacques COURTEY, Dottore in Geografia Economica, Ph. D

tradotto e adattato dall' inglese all' italiano da lui stesso

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Per rendere omaggio alla Principessa di Lamballe, di origine italiana, abbiamo voluto realizzare una traduzione e un adattamento in italiano del nostro articolo intitolato "Uchronic history XXVI : the enigmatic punishments of the murderers and enemies of the Princess of Lamballe !" (pubblicato su Global Politics and Economics, l'8 aprile 2025) !

Scoprirere nomi molto noti e altri completamente sconoscitui. Aneddoticamente, tra i personnaggi noti, Axel di Fersen vi sorprenderà sicuramente. Perché secondo le nostre ricerche, era molto diverso dal personaggio imaginato dal grande pubblico, e reso popolare dal recente e splendido film epico, e romanticizatto, intitolato "Marie-Antoinette" (Hollywood, 2006) !

In realtà, era davvero Fersen l'amante della Regina ? E la Principessa di Lamballe, Sovrintendente della Casa della Regina, non è stata il suo ostaculo principale ? Ne parleremo nell'epilogo e vedrete che il solito malinteso ebbe conseguenze fatali, sia per la Principessa, la migliore amica della Regina, che per il Conte svedese avventuroso, Axel di Fersen, alla fine !

Persino la Regina Maria Antonietta, in una lettera segreta del 5 settembre 1791 al Conte Valentin Esterhazi (un "connazionale" ungherese), due mesi e mezzo doppo il suo ritorno forzato alle Tuileries di Parigi con la famiglia reale, sembra rimproverare implicitamente Fersen per la sua codardia durante la fallita fuga da Varennes : la cosa peggiore è che era stato lui a organizzarla. Si dice che lei lo abbia intravisto nell'ombra con i suoi 175 draghi la sera del 21 giugno 1791, a Varennes-en-Argonne, quando l'intera famiglia reale fu condotta con la forza dal droghiere Sauce (1755 - 1825)... senza che lui intervenisse per salvarli  ? 

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Questo novo articolo di "Storia ucronica" è dedicato alla Principessa di Lamballe, e al "Deus ex machina" che sembra essersi sostituito alla giustizia umana per lei. Infatti le punizioni degli assassini e dei nemici dell'infelice Principessa sono state varie e inaspettate, ma sempre eclatanti : per certi aspetti, possono apparire enigmatiche !

La Principessa di Lamballe è considerata in alcuni circoli una storica ignorata. Difatti, ha condotto ricerche approfondite sull'enigma dell'Uomo dalla Maschera di Ferro. Ha persino scritto i resultati delle sue indagini personali. La sua conclusione fu che in realtà se trattava di...Molière (1622 - 1673 ?), morto né sul palcoscenico, né a casa. Secondo lei, fu rapito dalla Compagnia del Santissimo Sacramento, sua nemica da tempo, dopo il suo famoso disagio sul palcoscenico, e tenuto segreto alla Bastiglia fino alla sua vera morte, avvenuta il 19 novembre 1703 !  

Il tragico destino di questa Principessa devota alla Regina Maria Antonietta (1755 - 1793 o 1834 ?), che aveva un'anima grande, merita la nostra compassione cristiana. Non nasconderemo l'estrema complessità di tutto cio` che circonda questa terribile giorno del 3 settembre 1792. Esso è storicamente integrato nei massacri dei primi di settembre 1792...che possono facilmente trarre in inganno il ricercatore !

E`una storia molto triste, ma c'erano chiaramente delle ragione per cui le è successo quel giorno fatidico. Se si considera la macabra messa in scena create deliberatamente per creare Terrore, si capisce subito che la Principessa di Lamballe fu il bersaglio principale dei massacri del settembre 1792. Se vi chiedete chi esattamente volesse trarre beneficio della sua terribile morte, comenciano ad apparire alcune riposte chiare. Ecco perché andremo a svelare cio`che abbiamo finalmente scoperto, attraverso le punizioni enigmatiche dei suo assassini e nemici che si sono susseguite senza sosta. Naturalmente puoi fare una pausa dopo ogni parte per riprendere fiato !

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Questo nuovo articolo di "Storia ucronica" è il risultato di una lunghissima inchiesta, sul martirio della Principessa di Lamballe (8 settembre 1749 - 3 settembre 1792), e sulle sue sorprendenti conseguenze. Abbiamo consultato molti articoli e vari libri di riferimento, a volte con accesso limitato, per capire meglio cosa è successo esattamente. In realtà molte cose sono estramamente poco chiare e contradittorie, perfino per gli specialisti. In effetti, per giungere alla verità, è necessario fare riferimenti incrociati constantemente e con la pazienzia di un angelo. Troppe cose sono confuse : il suo ruolo di Sovrintendente della Casa della Regina (era all'estero cuando la "Dichiarazione dei Diritti della Donna e della Cittadina" di Olympe di Gouges fu trasmessa alla Regina Maria Antonietta nell'ottobre 1791), quello di Grande Maestra della Massoneria Femminile Francese, i suoi legami con i Fratelli Illuminati dell'Asia, o quelli con gli Illuminati di Bavaria in particolare. E non dobbiamo dimenticare di menzionare il suo ruolo ultimo e fondamentale come potenziale salvatrice della Monarchia Francese, a favore di Luigi XVII (1785 - 1795 ? - 1860) nel giugno 1792. In effetti, ha guidato una diplomazia discreta nel Padiglione di Flore (Tuileries) : con questa soluzione definitiva di compromesso trovata con Jérôme Pétion de Villeneuve (1756 - 1794), Sindaco di Parigi, Georges Jacques Danton (1759 - 1794), e Maximilien de Robespierre (1758 - 1794), Luigi XVI (1754 - 1793 ?) avrebbe abdicato in favore del figlio Luigi XVII, essendo la Principessa di Lamballe proclamata Reggente durante la sua minore età. Avrebbe potuto salvare l'intera famiglia reale e porre fine all'incubo. Ma questo avrebbe potuto rovinare definitivamente le pretese reali di suo cognato, Filippo, Duca d'Orleans (1747 - 1793), Gran Maestro del Grande Oriente di Francia. Ma falli` a causa della troppo forte opposizione dei cortigiani realisti nel Palazzo delle Tuileries. E il 10 agosto 1792 le Tuileries furono assaltate, provocando di conseguenza la fine della Monarchia Francese !

La Principessa di Lamballe è nota nella storia per essere stata la migliore amica della Regina Maria Antonietta, anche la lora amicizia doveva conoscere alcuni eclissi. Maria Tereza di Savoia-Carignano è nata a Torino (Piemonte, Regno di Sardinia). Come Maria Antonietta, era straniera quando sposo` il Principe di Borbone-Lamballe e divene francese (1767). Ma l'anno dopo rimase vedova. Era amata dal suocero Luigi di Borbone, Duca di Penthièvre (1725 - 1793). Maria Antonietta, arciduchessa d'Asborgo-Lorena arrivo` a Versailles dopo il suo matrimonio con il Duca di Berry (futuro Luigi XVI) nel 1770, a proposito di lei : aveva solo 14 anni ! Ed entrambi si sentivano completamente persi nel loro nuovo paese di adozione. Non si sentirono cosi`ben accolti e accetati a Versailles, e persero molti dei loro sogni d'infanzia. La loro spontaneità un po' infantile non piacque molto . Molte persone aveva una mentalità ristretta e non si lasciavano andare a indulgenze, sopratutto quelle che fingevano di essere liberi pensatori. E provarono subito un forte senso di solitudine alla corte di Versailles, con la sua etichetta troppo pesante e gravosa. Le persone erano essessivamente esigenti, ma mai per se stesse, che erano ben lontano dall'essere buone modelle. Paradossalmente, fu el vecchio Re Luigi XV (1710 - 1774) un po' come un simpatico "Nonno", che troverono di mentalità piuttosto aperta e molto gentile con loro, e sempre pronto a perdonare i loro difetti infantili : era sempre felice e meravigliato in loro presencia. Poi è questa stessa sensazione di solitudine interiore che ha immediatamente unito Maria Antonietta e Maria Tereza. Queste due giovanissime donne, entrambe bellissime, sono state accusate di essere piu` che simplice amiche, anche dal Conte Axel di Fersen (1755 - 1810), che mostro` la sua amicizia rivale alla Regina dal 1774. Questa assurda invenzione di un "complotto lesbico" sulla Monarchia Francese fu propagata in particolare da Stanislas Xavier, Conto di Provenza (1755 - 1824), molto prima dei Rivoluzionari e molto tempo prima che diventasse Luigi XVIII (1814 - 1815  -  1815 - 1824) !

Pierre Choderlos di Laclos (1741 - 1803) l'antagonista nascosto della Principessa di Lamballe, della Regina e del Re particolarmente, era un militare rigido : apparentemente sembrava molto lontano dal personaggio di Valmont in "Le relazioni pericolosi" ("Les liaisons dangereuses" in francese), il suo famoso romanzo epistolare pubblicato nel 1782. Era totalmente devoto agli interessi del Duca di Orleans, che aveva proposto di diventarre Reggente di Francia già il 15 Iuglio 1789. A quanto pare non soffri` personalmente del suo coinvolgimento come instigatore del massacro della Principessa di Lamballe, per aver riclutato i principali cattivi, Petit-Mamin, Charlat, Grison...Choderlos di Laclos era il segretario di "Filippo Parità" ; e aveva già orgnizzato per lui la cosidetta "Marcia delle donne" - con molti uomini pericolosi travestiti da donne da loro - a Versailles il 5 e 6 ottobre 1789. Dopo il terribile massacro della Principessa di Lamballe, la sua testa fu finalmente brandita sotto le finestre di "Filippo Parità" al Palais Royal, in una prima versione. Ma in una seconda versione, la sua testa vene addirittura consegnata nella sua sala di pranzo, dove si trovava con la sua amante, Madame de Buffon, soprannominata "Agnès" (Marguerite Françoise de Bouvier de la Motte de Cepoy - 1768 - 1808), la compagna dei suoi intrighi. Era il principale mandante, oppure il suo segretario voleva forzargli la mano perché le trovava troppo tenero, proprio come la sua amante ? Comunque, il 6 novemrbre 1793, "Filippo Parità" [Fillippo di Orleans] fu ghigliottinato a Parigi. Choderlos di Laclos nei suoi confronti, non fu mai giudicato per questo massacro. Mori`di morte naturale - apparentemente - il 5 settembre 1803 (undici quasi giorno per giorno dopo la Principessa di Lamballe) ...di dissenteria e malaria a Tarente (Regione Puglia, Italia), come uno dei generali dell'esercito [francese] d'Italia. Passava cosi`tanto tempo a agitarsi sulla corretta pronuncia del suo nome con suoi interlocutori, "Chauderlot de Laclos" e non "Koderloss de Laclos", che potrebbe aver inaverttitamente - o meno - bevuto acqua stantia. Sopredentemente, oggigiorno una parte degli specialisti dei "Relazioni pericolosi", con il famigerato Valmont, pronuncia ancora il suo nome "Koderloss de Laclos" ! 

Petit-Mamin appartaneva alla sezione delle "Tuileries" : pare che questo uomo a rimessa - non un pover'uomo allora - avesse principalmente il compito di indicare ai massacratori qual prigionera del carcere di La Force a Parigi fosse la Principessa di Lamballe. Fu anche accusato di aver partecipato al suo orribile assessinio. Fu inoltre l'unico processato per questo nel 1796, ma venne assolto. In fine, nel 1801, venne deportato ad Anjouan (Comore) in seguitto a un editto di Joseph Fouché (1759 - 1820) - lui stesso ironicamente un ex-giacobino - che proibiva gli ex-giacobini elencati. E li`mori`di fame e miseria.                                                                                                                  Charlat, un parruchino, era un batterista della Guardia Nazionale (sezione degli Arcis). Poteva sfuggire a qualsiasi procedimento giudizario per cio` che aveva fatto il 3 settembre 1792, arruolandosi nell'esercito. Pensava davero di essere al sicuro. Non sembrava provare alcun remorso per cio`che aveva fatto alla Principessa di Lamballe durante il massacro : era stato a colpirle la testa con una mazza ed ad aprirle il petto strappandole il cuore. Anche lui aveva sfoggiato i suoi genitali come baffi, e ridacchiava come un mostre sporco. Fu mandato in Vandea come volontario. Ma pare che si vantasse troppo di cio` che aveva fatto a la Principessa di Lamballe, con macabri detagli, vicino ai suoi compagni d'armi. Questo accelero` la sua fine : fu a sua volta massacrato dai suoi stessi compagni di armi, particolarmente disgustati e molto arrabiati, in un impeto di rabbia vendicativa.                                                                                                                        Grison era un apprendista macellaio : era lui che aveva segato il collo della Principessa di Lamballe durante il suo terribile massacro. Lui fu giudicato nel dipartimento dell'Aube per altri crimini nel gennaio 1797, quindi tri anni e mezzo dopo la fatidica caduta di Robespiere (Thermidor 9°, anno II - 27 Iuglio 1794). Fu condannato a farsi tagliare la testa. Ma pare che la ghigliottina non funzionasse corettamente il giorno della sua esecusione : a quanto pare ci vollero almeno due tentativi per tagliarli la testa. Oppure potrebbe essere stato giustiziato due volte per tutto chio`che aveva fatto, dal "Deus ex machina" ! 

Più particolare è il caso di Brune, divinuto in onore un maresciallo di Napoleone I (1769 - 1821). Fu amico di Camille Desmoulins (1760 - 1794), e un duro rivoluzionario pronto a difendere i suoi ideali con le armi. E se diceva que qualcuno lo avesse visto travestito, con in la mano la testa della Principessa di Lamballe durante il massacro. Quindi, per i Realisti era ovviamente colpevole. De parte loro, i Carbonari Italiani che avevano combatutto contro Napoleone in Italia e sostenevano la famiglia della Savoia (allora la sua famiglia) nel loro desiderio di riconquistare l'independenza e l'unità per l'Italia, pensavano esattamente la stessa cosa. Cosa accadde esattamente a Guillaume Brune (1763 - 1815) rimase poco chiaro per diverti anni, tranne il fatto che il suo cadavere fu gettato ad Avignone (sud-est della Francia), nelle tumultuose acque del fiume Rodano il 2 agosto 1815. Ma nel 1821 (anno della morte di Napoleone), sotto il regno ormai placato di Luigi XVIII, la sua vedova lo fece riabilitare da diverse accuse. Venne riconosciuto ufficialmente che non se era suicidado nella sua camera d'albergo ad Avignone, dopo che un certo Soullier le aveva riconosciuto per strada e lo aveva accusato di aver portato in cima a una picca la testa della Principessa di Lamballe, in occasione del suo massacro. E si ammise che se trovava nei pressi di Thionville quel fatidico giorno del 3 settembre 1792, e non a Parigi allora. Allo stesso modo è stata cancellata l'accusa di malversazioni. Quindi, ufficialmente, si ritiene che sia stato assassinato o finito da un certo Guindon alias "Roquefort", solo come maresciallo di Napoleone I, durante il "Terrore Bianco" antibonapartista della seconda Restaurazione !

Come epilogo, Saiffert, medico personale della Principessa di Lamballe, membro di la Commune di Parigi e importante esponante degli Illuminati di Bavaria, rimase profondamente sconvolto dalla sua morte. Provava un tenero amore per lei. Nella sua mente, lei era il grande amore della sua vita. Era stata per diversi mesi la sua compagna in Inghilterra nel 1791, quando lui curo` con successo i suoi attachi di crisi nervose. E tramite lui che sappiamo che un sosia del Conte di Saint Germain ha significato alla Principessa che sarrebe morta, dopo essere stata falsamente liberata da la prigione di La Force a Parigi da Jacques René Hébert (1757 - 1794), presidente di un tribunale rivoluzionari improvvisato !

Ci` fu una guerra dinastica taciuta tra i Valois e i Borboni, artificialmente stimolata dalla Rosa Croce filo-merovingia, per provocare un cambio di dinastia in Francia ? Infatti, in occasione dell' "Affare della collana della Regina" (1785- 1786), Jeanne de la Motte-Valois (1756 - 1791 ?), vera discendente del Re Enrico II (1519 - 1559), il "Re d'Angolmois" caro a Nostradamus (1503 - 1566), fu condannata a restare in prigione e ad essere marchiata con il segno dell'infamia sulle spalle : sfortunatamente, a causa de suoi capelli intrecciati, questo le fu applicato invece sul seno destro, dal maldestro boia ! 

La Principessa di Lamballe fece visita a la Contessa de Lamotte-Valois, nel suo carcere di La Salpétrière a Parigi. Era stata inviata dalla Regina per impedirle pubblicare le sue memorie. Ma la Contessa si rifiuto` di incontrarla. E la madre superiora di La Salpétrière disse alla Principessa : la prigionera era stata condannata a restare in prigione, a non vederla ! Stranamente, bisogno notare che prima del suo arresto a Bar-sur-Aube (Aube), Jeanne de la Motte-Valois fece visita li al Duca di Penthière, suocero della Principessa di Lamballe. In ogni caso, non rimase a lungo in prigione, poiché poté fuggire in Inghilterra nel 1787, con l'aiuto di complici. E noto che applaudi` alla sanguinosa Rivoluzione in Francia. Ed è tutt'altro che certo che mori`nel 1791 a Londra : alcuni storici pensano invece che mori`addirittura in Francia (Parigi) nel 1844. Potrebbe la Principessa di Lamballe essere una vittima collaterale del suo odio verso la dinastia dei Borboni ?

Saint Germain (tra il 1691 e 1710 - 1784), quello vero e non su sosia chiamato Gauwe (un attore parigino che si credeva un bravo comico), era chiamato "l'immortale Rosa Croce", ed era in realtà morto il 27 febbraio 1784 (a Eckernförde, Schleswig-Holstein, oggi Germania). Era improvvisamente completamente paralizzato, il suo oro potable non aveva più alcun effetto, come brutale epilogo del progessivo deterioramiento della sua salute alla fine del Convento di Wilhelmsbad nell'estate del 1782. Cio` porto` ad una guerra aperta tra la Rosa Croce di Innsbrück e Johann Adam Weishaupt (1748- 1830), il fondatore degli Illuminati di Bavaria.                                                                                   Tuttavia la Principessa fu improvvisamente catturata da una folla apparentemente pazza guidata da Petit-Mamin. E il dottore Jean-Geoffroy Seiffert non poté fare nulla per salvarla. Era rimasto innoridito ed era terribilmente sconvolto e abbattuto per questo !

Ecco perché Saiffert non apprezzo`affatto lo che scrisse Axel di Fersen, i cui impegni non erano chiari, a proposito del massacro di la Principessa di Lamballe, il 19 settembre 1792 : "La Principessa di Lamballe fu martirizzata per cuatro ore nel modo più orribile. La penna si rifiuta di fornire questi dettagli ; le fu strapatto il petto con i denti e le fu prestato ogni possibile aiuto per due ore per farla rinvenire da uno svenimento e farle sentire meglio la morte".                                                                                                                       Da questa data, il caso di Fersen, giudicato inquietante, divenne una preoccupazione personale per gli Illuminati filo-austriaci di Bavaria !

Per questo medico tedesco, questo commento risulto` sgradito e ambiguo, poiché sapeva dalla Principessa di Lamballe che lei era stata un ostacolo affinché Fersen diventasse davvero l'amante della Regina Maria Antonietta, nonostante le voci che circolavano sul loro sentimento platonico. Gli Illuminati di Bavaria rimproveravano già a Fersen la cattiva gestione della fuga di Varennes (20 e 21 giugno 1791). Oltre a cio`circolava una voce discreta secondo lui egli si trovava effetivamente a Varennes-en-Argonne, e non a Montmédy, durante la fatidica notte del 21 giugno 1791, quando i Reali furono arrestati. E non avrebbe fatto nulla per salvare la Famiglia Reale : era come se lui i suoi 175 draghi fossero evaporati. Ma Fersen dichiaro` sempre di essere in attesa a Montmédy (non cosi` lontano allora), la fase finale della fuga, non sembrando preoccupato del fatto che ci volesse cosi` tanto tempo per arrivare !

A causa di tutti questi imbarazzanti dubbi sul suo ruolo inquietante, gli Illuminati di Bavaria filo-austriaci decisero di reagire. E nel 1810, Axel di Fersen, di origine svedese, fu accusato di aver avvelenato il nuovo Re di Svezia, Carl-August (1768 - 1810), di origine danese-tedesca, tramite il suo medico personale. Il giorno del suo funerale, il 20 giugno 1810, Fersen si ritrovo` improvvidamene in situazione di grave difficoltà per le strade della capitale svedese. Fu aggredito dalla folla che lo lapido` a morte e lo calpesto`. Cio` accadde in presenza di numerose truppe, che non intervennero. Era el giorno dell'anniversario della fuga mancata di Varennes !

A modo di distacco, il 5 settembre 1791, la Regina Maria Antonietta aveva inviato segretamente al suo "compratriota", il Conte Valentin Esterhazy (1740 - 1805), dalle Tuileries due anelli, uno "fleur-de-Lysé" rosso con tre gigli e un secondo totalmente in oro : sul primo sul verso era scritto "Domine salvum fac regem et reginam" (Signore, salva il re e la regina), e sul secondo, sull'retro dell'anello c'era scritto "Lâche qui les abandonne" (Codardo che gli abandonna). Doveva conservare il primo anello per lui, e trasmettere il secondo al Conte di Fersen ('"caro"). Li` il suo messagio era molto più contrastato,  rispetto alla recente e approssimativa decodificazione della sua lettera ! 

Just science-fiction LXVIII : let's play rugby with Haumea, in a redesigned Solar system !

 by Jean-Jacques COURTEY, Doctor in Economic Geography, Ph. D

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This new article of Just Science Fiction is dedicated to our real Solar System, which appears totally different presently, with the most recent discoveries of astronomy !

We are now far from the very old system based only upon seven planets. In this perspective, the discovery of Haumea at the end of 2004 profoundly revolutionized our vision of the nearby Cosmos !

Indeed, Haumea is not at all an exoplanet, but a dwarf planet full of iced water, from the confines of our Solar System. In a way, this cosmic "rugby ball", with all its oddities has totally redesigned it !

And this should amaze us, or at the very least make us wonder about our real position in the Universe. Haumea is certainly the most puzzling trans-neptunian  planet of all ! 

                                                                      *******

Haumea (136108) is not at all an exo-planet, discovered among many others by astronomers with the most recent radio-telescopes. And yet, it's almost totally ignored by most people on Earth.If you asked an educated person to quote the different planets of our Solar System, she would only quote the Moon, Mercury, Mars, Venus, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune, and Pluto. But she wouldn't mention Charon (now also used by astrologers), Makemake, Eris, or Haumea in the Kuiper belt. She never learnt about their existence at school, or even since she has left school !

Haumea is not either a dead planet. Some astronomers think it has no atmosphere, which is difficult to sustain with a so considerable presence of water on its surface : there is automatically Oxygen and Hydrogen at least, and probably Nitrogen like on Earth. It is a fast spinning planet (3.9 hours). Its width is similar to that of Pluto in its larger part, because of its strange shape of rugby ball. It has got two moons : Namaka (mouth of Haumea) and Hi'iaka (a spirit of water), both children of Goddess Haumea. Its radius is 816 km. It's a dwarf trans-neptunian planet !

It was discovered on December 28th, 2004 by Michael E. Brown (born in 1965 in Huntsville, Alabama, USA), from Caltech. But there was a question of authorship with José Luis Ortiz Moreno (born in Spain in 1967), from the Observatory of Sierra Nevada in Granada - Andalusia, Spain. However, a solution of co-authorship seems to have happened naturally for its discovery. Haumea is the name finally given in 2008 to this dwarf planet, initially named Santa (after Santa Claus) by Michael E. Brown. Its gravity is very low : a man of 100 kg on Earth would weigh roughly 4 kg and a woman of 50 kg only 2 kg then !

So, it has finally being named after the name of the Goddess of fertility and birth of Hawaï, Haumea (the Mother of Goddess Pelé from Hawaï). There is lot of water on Haumea, in the shape of crystalline iced water on 75% of its surface. The NASA describes it as a "weird Solar system object". Often, we are informed about the discovery of another exoplanet where there is water, and then where life could exist. Yet, it is so far that we don't pay much attention. But Haumea is on the contrary a planet of our Solar system (not at all an exoplanet then), and not so far comparatively. And still, few people seem to bother really about its strange disruptive existence ! 

Sustaining without evidences it has no atmosphere, is allowing to bypass the question of life existence on Haumea. If there is so much water on its surface (even iced), molecules of Hydrogen and Oxygen have to come from somewhere anyway. Above that, it's not very scientific, neither respectuous. But it's true that it has the merit to maintain the illusion of the human beings uniqueness in the Solar system. In a way, this question of Earthlings' unicity is a cognitive bias made to comfort a fake superiority, and to conjure an excessive fear not to be so important in the Cosmos. At a certain level, it is too a refusal to confront reality. In rugby, there are not only tries, there are also conversions. And a conversion is adding two points to the try scored (5points) in rugby fifteen !

The surprising Haumea has also a ring of 70 km width (discovered by Ortiz in 2017) that mimics Saturn, at a distance of 2287 km from its surface. What is unusual about it, is effectively its strange shape in rugby ball ! At the moment, because of this exceptional shape, Haumea should be a curiosity, not only outside our Solar system, but also inside. Nobody is understanding the anomaly of its rugby ball shape. Haumea is at the moment the only known planet, with such an exceptional and unique shape. But at the same time who is wondering which exceptional capacities it is giving to it ? 

If Haumea is really 4.5 billion years (like Earth), was there any connection in the ancient past with Earth, through the Annunaki of the Enuma Elish for instance ? Or could this link have been still more singular, through the strange Ubaidians (from Tell-Al-ubaid, South of Irak) who had a human body and the face of a snake or a lizard, just at the edge of History ? We may never know the answer if human beings are so poorly interested in the Cosmos. But perhaps are they disliking to be able to discover one day they are not unique at all in the universe, even in our Solar system, and not only outside our galaxy ? 

The discovery of Haumea should have totally revolutionized astronomy, but it wasn't really the case. Only specialists are usually interrogating themselves about it. Why ? In 2012, we were wondering about the return of Annunaki on Earth, and questioning the existence of Nibiru, their planet of origin in our Solar System. But, we never cogitate on the fact we might have already discovered it, under another name. The revolution of Haumea around the Sun is lasting 287 years. Perhaps are we disconcerted by its small size and its unique shape in the Cosmos ?

We don't know why this planet has got such an unusual shape of rugby ball ? And we ignore too if it correspond to a particular function at the edge of our Solar system. We bet some astronomers in the world must be scratching their head, to try explaining the existence of this dwarf planet in situation of anomaly. Another question could be : was this planet already there for a long time, or is its coming relatively recent ? Normally, if it's 4.5 billion years old, it should always have been there, because planets don't move like huge spatial vessels. Is it an outpost of the next Solar system ?                                    But it doesn't seem so many people are interested in it. After all, human beings are not so curious about their cosmic environment. In the past, when we were a small boy, people had an incredible capacity of amazement about the Cosmos. But nowadays, they feel accustomed, and they get easily bored ! 

Haumea is situated between Makemake (another dwarf planet discovered on March 31st, 2005) and Pluto, and not so far from Eris, another trans-neptunian object equally discovered in 2005. Pluto was for long considered as the last planet of the Solar System, since its discovery on February 18th, 1930 by the American astronomer Clyde Tombaugh (1906 - 1997). He did it from the Lowell Observatory near Flagstaff, in Arizona (USA). Pluto was the first trans-neptunian planet discovered. Whatever you call it a planet or a dwarf planet (since 2006), Pluto is stubborn : it is existing and it is not alone. Above that it is mocking earthly denominations. And that's the same thing for Haumea !

Trans-neptunian dwarves (also called Trans-Neptunian Objects or TNO) are mischievous with human being. They make him scratch his head and use his brain, by disrupting his automatic thought processes. They force him to completely rethink what he thought he knew. It's a bit the same thing than with Vesta, Juno, Ceres, and Pallas, the strange asteroids - also used by modern astrologers - of the asteroids belt between Mars and Jupiter (Internal Solar system). Indeed, Ceres is now considered as a dwarf planet instead with enormous water resources (far more than Earth). It's always funny to see scientists hesitating so much about the classification of stars : it shows the limits of their knowledge and understanding. In reality, human beings are like children who are groping around ! 

What is astonishing is the number of stars which have got water in the Solar system. Even if astronomers are now cutting our Solar system in two (with the internal Solar system till Neptun, and the external Solar system from Neptun to Pluto area in the Kuiper belt beside the Oort Cloud), you can find more and more planets posssessing water, even most of them are moons - 414 at the moment -, or dwarf planets. If human being has got a certain inability to detect life in this near universe, at least he is now able to recognize the existence of water outside Earth. And that's already a great revolution of the mind. Still a century more, and human beings will progress anew, if they didn't destroy themselves in the meantime in the stupid Third World War they are too aggressively preaching for !

They may get it when they least expect it, and sooner than they think. It's not a question of budget, but of bad luck coming any time, and not especially in 2027 or 2030 : why not in November 2026 for instance, with the electromagnetic perturbations of Haumea ? As a matter of fact, targeting without any discernment any Russian base protected by the "Perimeter system" is extremely dangerous for the survival of Paris and its region for example. It is always possible to pull off a spectacular coup by destroying such a base with drones or another mean. But so far, we have been incredibly lucky : the Russians have been able to stop just in time the totally automated responses with the launching of nuclear missiles in direction of their considered main enemies, Paris...or another western capital. But, with what difficulties ! We were at only three minutes from our unexpected death or the nuclear winter. Perhaps next time will be the right one : just try to remember the beginning of the very famous movie "Terminator" (1984), with the uncontrollable AI "Skynet" !

Human beings are not able yet to get across the Oort Cloud and to enter the next Solar system to visit the most proximate star of Alpha Centauri. But Alpha Centauri could have been able to do it from a long time at the opposite (Civilization of Atlantis on Earth, with some famous remains in the Bermuda Triangle in the Atlantic Ocean, and the Devil Triangle near Japan).                                                                                                                           Potential ETs who could be far less dogmatic than us, would have less difficulty to find the truth about life in the universe. For instance, their beliefs wouldn't be a strange and contradictive mixture of Christianism and Darwinism, as for them they should be logically totally incompatible !

If the Positivist philosophy of Auguste Comte (1798 - 1857) could help those who didn't know how to think by themselves in the 19th century, the same philosophy in the 21st century hardly helps people to free from a science that is too dogmatic and not always so convincing. Thus, it's not a bad thing if the Vatican is having its own observatory in Castel Gandolfo, near Rome in Italy (lead by Jesuits), and equally its own large binocular telescopes in Safford (Mount Graham, Arizona, USA), and a more discrete one in South America as well, both called humorously LUCIFER !

The idea would be to detect a mysterious Cosmic Object with their piercing sight : the Wormwood Star ("l'Etoile Absinthe" in French) of the Apocalypse of Saint John, with its strong smell of Raspberry. It is expected to plunge the world into Darkness and Fright for three days, with the eradication of human pettiness and human falsehood in beliefs as well. It could have something to do with the sinful molasse resulting from the unacknowledged merger of Christianity with Social Darwinism, in the sense of the Virgin of Fatima (Portugal, three times on the 13th of the month in 1917), or Akita (Japan, in 1973 and from 1975 to 1981) ! 

For information purpose, it has to be mentioned that in Latin Lucifer is the name of planet Venus, where life might be possible not on its surface, but inside this star. If Dwight D. Eisenhower (1890 - 1969), president of the USA and his vice-president at that time, Richard Nixon (1913 - 1994), have really met the Venusian Commander Valiant Thor in Washington - in 1957 in the Pentagon, where he was lodging -, it seems the same was true thereafter for the Pope John XXIII (1958 - 1963) in Castel Gandolfo. Valiant Thor was justly saying he was living inside Venus, as a member of the Council of Twelve !

In some way, not only Venus but Haumea as well are challenging Earth's overlordship on the Solar system, while redesigning completely our near Cosmos. With this very strange dwarf planet, we are at last unvoluntarily discovering human beings' real position in the Solar system. If we didn't think in such an obsessively Darwinian way, we would be less tired, and it could be even exciting to discover new truths about our Solar system...and about us !

During the next periods of Haumea's approach to Earth (in November 2026, September 2037 or October 2038), the potential "Haumeans" might have fewer questions than our Earth astronomers about exploring Earth. The favorable periods of configuration mentioned above for a probe launch in direction of Haumea could symmetrically be used by them. And they might be bolder than Earthlings : they might not be afraid at all of a third type encounter with chosen human beings as many specialists are about ETs, even it would cause them a great psychological and civilizational shock !

Into the secret of Economics : beyond an economic contraction, an aside, the concept of "immersing country", and much more ! (Addendum)

 by Jean-Jacques COURTEY, Doctor in Economic Geography, Ph. D

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As the situation is perilous for our country, France, we believe we must intervene in the name of our ancestors to prevent the economic catastrophe coming.                                      The project of budget for 2026 is in fact the choice of an economic contraction of the French GDP of at least 2.2%, if inflation is really maintained at a level of 1% for the year, and without any impact of the tariff war introduced by America - which is very doubtful, given the 30% custom duties currently planned by President Trump for August 1st, 2025 !

We recall again the equation of GDP (Gross Domestic Product, or "Produit Intérieur Brut" in French) : GDP = C + I + G + (or -) X, where C is standing for Consumption, I for Investment, G for Government expenditures and X for the balance of trade. And we repeat you can't touch without any precaution to G (around 1690 billion Euros last year or 57.1% of our GDP) !

It is not forbidden not to understand anything to Economics, or even to refuse understanding it. After all, as we are repeated almost everyday we are in Republic, and then free to be and to think the way we want. But when people are in charge it is obviously required to understand something about it. If people in charge don't feel they can fulfill their charge, they should leave by themselves for the sake of France and of general interest !

The usual nonsense, with billions of volatile Euros floating around, should not be accepted so easily by the French, because it is their future which is at stake. As we pointed it out in our main article under the same title, published on Global Politics and Economics on July, 1st, 2025, the main problem of France is not the presupposed "wall of Debt", but the "wall of Public Aid to businesses". Yesterday, on TV it was even recognized that we don't know where at least half of this Public Aid (more than 100 billion Euros then) is going, which is incredible !

With our solution to reallocate 26% of Public Aid to the annual repayment of the Debt, without touching at all to Social Security and to the social model, it's the total amount of Debt repayment (around 60 billion Euros) which would be covered. This percentage was calculated mathematically for that. With this solution no blank year, incidentally causing a minimum drop of 2.2% of our GDP (1% due to the discount of inflation + 1.2% due to the structural deficit of our trade balance), is necessary !

Into the secret of Economics : beyond a world economic contraction, an aside, the concept of "immersing" country, and much more !

by Jean-Jacques COURTEY, Doctor in Economic Geography, Ph. D

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We have decided to create a new mascot series dedicated to global economics in the broad sense, without eluding its obvious interconnections with other fields : "Into the secret of Economics" !  

You are going to discover then the first issue of our new creation. We will approach facts or events from an unexpected and stimulating angle. And we hope you will like it !

To write this article, we have followed our inspiration by surfing on the past, but equally on unexpected events of the News. It will certainly surprise you...till the end !

                                                                  ******

The concept of "Economic contraction", also called recession, is ancient.  In econometrics, it means the considered country or countries, have got a growth rate of their GDP below O (so then minus something). Economics is functioning since the Sumerian and the Babylonian time in the mode of continuous flows. If you halt those flows or make them suddenly more difficult, you can create an economic contraction. It is very easy, and often rather quick. It happens when a Depression is succeeding Expansion. And its characteristic is a brutal contraction of activity (diminution of GDP, diminution of Investments...). The economy of a country is said to be in Contraction or in Recession, if growth is negative during at least three months, or if there is a simple slowdown in growth which then reaches a level barely above 0%. It might be the case of France in 2025 for instance, where the expected growth rate was at the beginning of the year estimated between 0.5 and 0.7%. However, the growth rate registered during the first trimester was + 0.1%. Concerning the USA, their growth rate could diminish from 2.8 % last year to 1.4% this year. This percentage can be compared to the 1.1% forecast for the European Union, and the 0.9% expected for the Euro area. For Germany, no growth was projected for 2025, and yet in the first trimester a small rise of 0.4% was registered. In a contradictory way, Germany is expected to be the most hit in 2025 (after a year of recession) by the tariff war with America, because of its cars, its iron, and its chemicals. But it is true that since Chancellor Bismarck (1815 - 1898), Exports have been the spearhead of the German economy.                                                                                         Another important basis of economics since the eve of time is the "Leverage effect", which helps a country (or an individual even) to enrich and to become powerful. You can find an illustration of this in the mysterious letter "k", that John Maynard Keynes (1883 - 1946) introduced last century, which is now called the "Keynesian multiplier", even it existed already at the time of Sumer and Babylon. Don't forget that the "cuneiform writing" was created initially for economic and commercial purposes ! Following Lord Keynes' logic in "General theory of employment, interest and money" (1936), a public spending, considered as a public investment, is provoking a rise of private expenses, and then Consumption. And this effect can be measured mathematically with the coefficient "k", which is equal to 1/1-c, where c is standing for the propensity to consume. Keynes was considering the need of an expansionist public budget to stimulate growth in a situation of Depression of the private Demand, after the famous Crash of 1929. But nowadays, he is not anymore understood because of the misleading illusions entertained about the burden of Debt repayment : in France for instance, it has in fact been reduced between 2011 and 2020 because of inflation, and it is presently representing in reality around 2% of our GDP (58 billion Euros, rounded to 60 ?), which shouldn't be so alarming. Imagine a minute an household which would have to repay every year 2% of its global income for its debts : saying it is on bankruptcy would appear silly. What's funny is that Japan and the USA are more zen than us with their respective Debts (266% and 124% of their GDP, compared with our 114% of GDP only). Instead of talking of the "wall of Debt" for France, we should talk more about the "wall of Public aid to businesses" (almost four times the amount of the annual debt repayment presently), with its rocketing rise since 2012. A decisive reallocation of 26% of Public aid to the debt repayment, without touching to the social model and Social Security, would have the best effect  !

The announced potential contraction of the world economics due to the war of custom tariffs introduced by President Donald Trump (born in 1946 in New York) is difficult to follow and to understand...except if you have in mind the struggle which was opposing the previous colonies of America to the British Crown since 1775, and 1776 of course. If the first war of  independence of America was won by the Insurgents in 1783 with the help of the King of France and Navarre, Louis XVI (1754 - 1793 ?), the second one in 1812-1815 ended rather with a compromise (a "Statu quo ante bellum"). Peace was signed in 1815, the year after the bombing of the first White House in Washington and the destruction of the US capital. The Canadian red tunics' occupation of Washington, on this occasion, is explaining why still nowadays the District of Columbia is treated quite separately from the rest of the USA. This second war was launched by the new USA, which tried without any success to invade Canada : they wanted Canadians to become Americans (already) ! Thereafter, Canada representing the British Crown, invaded successfully the ex-British colonies of America : the British-American war of 1812-1815 was in fact a Canadian-American war. And it had officially no winner, except that the British could regain their influence lost in 1783. This influence, noticeably economic and financial, grew again after the war of Secession (1861 - 1865), and the death of President Lincoln (1809 - 1865), when British banks reinforced their influence on the Dollar through trusts, and still more in 1913 with the creation of the Fed (Federal Reserve Bank) on the Jekyll island (Georgia, USA). The Fed is not at all a public organization, but a totally private and rather independent one, made of a conglomerate of private Banks : in 2018, the combined wealth of those banks was already estimated to more than $ 300 trillion. By comparison, the public debt of the USA was $ 36.2 trillion at the end of 2024.The bonded indebtedness of the USA towards the Fed is then an enormous constraint.They are literally in its hands, even a co-President of The Fed would be possibly nominated to lower interest rates. Don't forget that at the difference of most countries, America doesn't own its own money : it pays a heavy rent every month for the issuance of Dollar notes, and their circulation worldwide. Presidents Abraham Lincoln and John Fitzgerald Kennedy (1917 - 1963) wanted their country to be owner of its currency, but they failed. And President Ronald Reagan (1911 - 2004), who had the same idea, finally stepped back. Coincidentally, he narrowly escaped death after the attempt assassination of March 30th, 1981 in Washington, with explosive bullets called "Devastators". It's always dangerous for a government to play with currency and liquidity : flows must never be interrupted. So the world potential economic contraction announced presently is a sign that this old war has started again, for the control of the world : it is important to know who is going to have the leadership inside the Anglo-Saxon world. Yet, in less than four years now, it's rather doubtful Canada will become American (like in the claim of 1812), and that the British Crown will lose its centuries-old power, in spite of frictions. The Hamiltonian Current (favorable to a compromise with Britain and the Crown) is still very powerful and influent in the USA. And it has to be remembered the Crown is considered as the heiress and the successor of the Babylonian and Sumerian Empires, in present time !

As an aside, about the period preceding the Empire of Sumer in Mesopotamia (presently called Irak), it is difficult to know what the "Ubaidian" concepts were. Yet it is clearly demonstrated now that "Ubaidians" were not at all prehistoric men and women, but beings with a human body and a face of snake or lizard, proud of their mysterious origins. Did they have a writing ? The answer is unclear, as specialists may have bypassed this question, by concentrating only on drawings on the pottery found. Yet, the main question is when a drawing is just what it looks, or a sign of writing ? Apparently, they granted a great importance to maternity and babies, if you consider the discovered figurines near Eridu and Ur (considered as the eldest towns in the world). And the status of women seems to have been very high in their society. Nowadays, you can even buy reproductions of ophidian females breastfeeding their ophidian baby on internet. The Ubaidian period is in reality very little studied, because it causes a great "visual" problem to archeologists and classical historians. They try to introduce cognitive bias so as not to see what they see, by clumsily imagining shaky explanations. Strangely, behind the Chair of the Resurrection in the Papal audience hall, called "Paul VI hall", both in the Vatican and in Rome (Italy), there is a very large sculpture representing "Jesus after the atomic Apocalypse", since 1977 : this masterpiece of Pericle Fazzini (1913 - 1987) is just behind the Pope's throne, and it looks very much like an ophidian Ubaidian man. It also amazingly resembles to the old figure of El, God of the Desert in the Near East, whatever he is represented alone or with his Ashera. This artist was calling his sculpture "Bozzetto per la Resurrezione" ("Sketch for the resurrection" in English). Then History, Geography, Economics, and Religion, which were initially interconnected started in fact a bit before Sumer...in "Tell-al-'Ubaid" (South of Irak). Is Roma recognizing in a discrete and artistic way our original heritage, ignored and misunderstood ?  

The concept of "immersing country" is at the opposite rather new : it's exactly the contrary of an emerging country. It is the Characteristic of a former dominant country losing ground and vitality. If reversed, an immersing country can become in its turn an emerging one, or to be more precise a reemerging one. This concept is a neologism we are introducing today in global economics and politics. So, you wouldn't find documentation about it normally. Those countries are not anymore converging with emerging countries, which have now become developed. You can try to find out yourself which countries could be called this way nowadays. An "immersing country" is a country where economic decisions are taken in the wrong direction, in a disorderly and sudden manner. Irrationality takes hold of experts and people in charge, to react in a way that can be quite suicidal for their currency and its flows, their economy, their bond market and stock market, and their inhabitants. In a way, it can become the mark of a dying country, which civilization and culture over suddenly seem to evaporate following a heatwave. As the phenomenon is collective and paroxysmal, it is extremely difficult to contain. This strange phenomenon is linked to the profound decadence and unbridled greed of its oligarchy. In a "democrature" (contraction and weird melting of the words "democracy" and "dictatorship"), immersion can be rather fast. The reason is coming from the absence of serious and effective counter-powers. It's almost like there is only one official truth and nothing else. Here, we are at the culmination of the Orwellian paradigm ("1984"), with its tiring nova lingua and "Big Brother" surveillance. Being an "immersing" country is worse than being a country in economic contraction. As a matter of fact, an "immersing" country can become a finishing country, which is drowning in the hubbub of its blah blah blah, with an induced fear of everything as a daily mode of domination of citizens. We will let you find by yourself examples of immersing countries, with this reading grid : you might be astonished. As an additive clue, this type of country is encouraging citizens to abandon voluntarily more and more liberties day after day, under the illusory promise of security. But the truth is that at the end, they will have nothing if they are not circumspect, by thinking twice ! 

The equation of GDP (Gross Domestic Product, or "Produit Intérieur Brut" in French) is the following :                GDP = C + I + G + (or -) X

C stands for Consumption, I for Investment, G for Government expenditures, and X for the trade balance.                                                                                                                                 In the case of France, X is negative (- 1.2%). Imports are overcoming Exports since 2004, after a positive period between 1994 and 2003. This is the huge difference with our main European partner, Germany ( + 36.1% in 2024). That said, in French business schools it is now the Purchasing function which is valued, and not at all the Export one : following this easier path, it's not surprising that X is (and should remain) negative for France.         G (1670 billion Euros last year, in our country), is the target of many attacks as everybody want to reduce it drastically and a bit madly : do they realize it is counting for around 57,1% of our GDP ? Traditionally, G is important in France since Louis XIV (1638 - 1715), when his Kingdom became the First Power of the World : at his time, G even rose to 59% of the French GDP. It was the time of the first special regimes granted by the King between 1673 and 1709 (the social side of his Monarchy). Now we are only n°7, or even n°24 if we consider the classification of GDP in parity of purchasing power per inhabitant (2024). Note that if you reduce excessively and over suddenly G, a catastrophic economic contraction will follow immediately. An unacknowledged target of 28% is insane. G is representing 48.4% of the German GDP for instance (49% for EU) : Germany became last year the 3rd Economic Power ahead of Japan, and behind a stable China, and a still predictable America, even though it was in recession.                               So growth in France can only come from the rising of Consumption or the one of Investment. At the moment, Consumption doesn't grow much due to the lack of purchasing power of households : the latters prefer to save because of their anxiety about the future. Then, Investment is the only leverage to stimulate growth. This is explaining why we want to attract world investments in France. And in order to do it, we provide public aids to potential investors. The only problem is that those ones among the biggest have a trend to take the public help... and go away once they have obtained it in full. It's a bit like if we were paying investors to come and create companies, or buy national ones (in most cases).The example of the iron field in Dunkirk area (North) is particularly striking, but it's far to be the only one. Those companies tend to invest in France through LBOs (Leveraged Buy-out). In a LBO usually the buyer brings only 10% in capital via a holding company, the rest being payed by the company purchased itself through loans. It's very advantageous for the investors, but quite a loss for the "prey-company"...and for France at the end. And if you add the public aid (without real compensation normally), you can get easily over 100%. Usually the promises of jobs creation are not fully respected, and when the holding company is leaving at the end of the process which can take several years, most employees find themselves on the dole. And it's quite rare for the holding company to pay back the public aids received, even partially. Paradoxically, in the case of Dunkirk and its iron industry for instance, it would be less costly at the end, to dare making a frank Overlord Nationalization of the means of productions. But it takes a great strategist to accomplish this sovereignly !

To make a reference to the past, a forgotten President of Council of the XIX th century had a very efficient and stimulating effect on France recovery after the Napoleonic fall in Waterloo (1815). He was both President of Council and Minister of Finance : this former Marine Officer of Louis XVI, coming from the South-West of France and sometimes hot blooded, was Joseph de Villèle (1773 - 1854). He officiated from the end of the reign of Louis XVIII (1755 - 1824), during the second Restoration. He was precisely the father of the industrialization of Dunkirk harbor and area (North), and the savior of French agriculture, which knew a surprising and unexpected boom (1st rank in all Europe, Russia included). It's him too who succeeded in Spain, where Napoleon I (1769 - 1821) had failed, with the striking victory of Trocadero fort in 1823 (in the entrance of Cadix harbor, Andalusia), by astonishing all Europe : this unbelievable event, for a quite short military campaign, over suddenly gave back to France its status of Great Military Power... lost near Brussels in Waterloo (Belgium) in 1815 by Napoleon I facing the Duke of Wellington (1769 -1852). This was highlighted by the famous Viscount François-René de Chateaubriand (1768 - 1848), who was still his Minister of Foreign Affairs at that time. He was so amazing, excellent, and firm in his ruling of the Kingdom of France, that the following King, Charles X (1757 - 1836) kept him at the head of the State. When the Count Joseph de Villèle decided to resign from his double position in the beginning of January 1828, he left an impressive gift to France : a budget in noticeable increase and with a remarkable surplus. As he definitively refused to come back to power, on March 31st, 1830, because he had been betrayed by 70 Ultra-royalist deputies, the end of Charles X's reign came quickly : there was the Revolution of 1830 from July 27th to July 29th, the famous "Three Glorious Days". And this second bourgeois Revolution was marked by the advent of a new King, Louis Philippe I (1773 - 1850), from the younger branch of the Bourbons-Orléans, at the instigation of the Marquis de La Fayette (1757 - 1834) ! 

Nowadays, economics seems to come back to the XIX th century rules, which means in fact the erasure of international rules, and every man for himself. It's like if everybody wanted to make the XXI st century a new XIX th century. Coming back to the case of France, a very strong and tough leader like Joseph de Villèle - now strangely forgotten, but not for long - wouldn't have hesitated to take a great decision if he was still living and in power. Public aid to businesses represented roughly 223 billion Euros in 2024 (7.7% of our GDP, and almost four times the amount of annual debt repayment as already quoted), and France is looking for 40 billion Euros to finalize the budget of 2026. In 1979, Public aid to businesses was only representing 3% of our GDP, as a useful comparison !                                                                                                                                   Hence, seeing the inefficiency and the excessive cost of Public aid to big businesses, you can easily guess what budget cuts the Count de Villèle would have done without hesitating - even if you are not an economist. As a historical reminder, it's him who had dissolved the National Guard created on July 15th, 1789 (on the insistance of Charles X) because it had dared to protest against him and his ministers (Dissolution  of April 29th, 1827). Thus, from the simple soldier to the general, everyone found themselves simple civilians overnight. It was a 1789 in reverse, but it didn't last, as in 1830 it was reestablished with the Marquis de la Fayette (1757 - 1834) at its head, like in 1789 : only the biggest taxpayers could become members, not the common people !

Even if the "smile of Dollar" is still very present, the American real economy (the one which doesn't depend on the stock markets) could suffer from the potential economic contraction announced. The US slowdown is already existing. And it could be accentuated by the shortage of foreign labour, which is risking to penalize entire sections of the economy. That said, even the stock markets and the bond market are expected to continue their strong yo-yo trend. And the unexpected emergence of a more stable elsewhere could occur. For, the possibility of an economic slowdown affecting other countries, seems to have become already more than a prediction.                                              In 2025, the world economy appears sick, unstable, and gloomy, with a scenario of endless conflict in Ukraine, and a new war in the Near East and the Middle East between Israel and Iran provoking a strange Counter-effect. In this regard, a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran (and then of oil and liquefied gas supertankers), could have had a great impact on contracting the global economy as well, without President Trump's ceasefire of June 24 between Iran and Israel !                                                                                  But, it's true while the hostilities between Ukraine and Russia are still going on, at least nobody will be able to exploit Ukrainian natural and energetic resources, nor its rare-earths, wherever they are in the country : the US-Ukrainian agreement of April 30th, 2025 will remain unenforced meanwhile. Paradoxically, the country is more independent through war, than it would be in case of real ceasefire or eventual (but very doubtful) peace. However, many on both sides and from outside too, wish to find a way out to this conflict. At the moment, only an armistice in the Korean way (Panmunjeom Armistice of July 27th, 1953), without any treaty of peace seems possible ! 

The unexpected thing provoking a Counter-effect was the new war between Israel and Iran, concerning the threat of the potential and unclear new position of the latter as a nuclear power. It happened four days after the IAEA report of June 9th, 2025 : according to it, Iran could enrich 409 kg of uranium from 60% to 90% in only three days, to produce at least 10 nuclear bombs thereafter. Israel's military intervention in Iran on Friday, June 13th, 2025, was coincidentally highlighting the position of Russia as a potential Mediator between the two belligerents. As an addition, according to the White House, the Iranian atomic bomb could be assembled in only fifteen days. And on Friday, June 20th, 2025, around 9 PM (local time), an earthquake of magnitude 5.1 has been recorded near a nuclear site in Qom area : was it the first subterranean test of the Iranian atomic bomb, or just an occasional seism as it can happen in this area ?        Initially, it is mainly the surface of most Iranian nuclear sites which had been destroyed by the Israeli war planes, without any trace of radioactivity detected, curiously... However, Natanz main site was said to have been completely destroyed, among other casualties involving not only officials, but also civilians..and hard responses with Iranian drones and missiles on Israel through its Iron Dome. Yet, Fordo nuclear site which is sheltered below a mountain was still operative. In all cases, the difficulty was connected to the depth of the facilities (80 m or far more). The US 13-ton megabomb GBU57 can only reach 60 m depth. However, it  was used by seven American B2s, on Fordo (35 km from Qom) with 12 megabombs and Natanz again with 2 megabombs - on Sunday, June 22nd, 2025, very early morning. Ispahan site about it has been bombed with Tomahawk missiles, like Natanz too from a US submarine. The strange thing is Fordo's granite mountain didn't collapse at all, even if the site was damaged. It was as if the mountain were alive and had swallowed the 12 mega-explosions and their blast, ultimately producing a black cloud in the atmosphere. In the end, it was just as though there were not anymore any stockpile of highly enriched uranium, in those three sites. Anew, no radioactive contamination was detected, even on the few lightly injured people ! 

The main point of this mini-war is that it ended in a damp squib, over suddenly, on June 24th, 2025 (Saint John's day). Was it connected to the allegorical liberation of the Zoroastrian Saoshyant (in the shape of the black cloud quoted above), from his jail-fortress of Fordo justly ? Saoshyant, and Saint John as well were dear to the Illuminati of Bavaria and their founder, Johann Adam Weishaupt (1748 - 1830). This war was really bizarre: it almost feels like we were in the 5th dimension !                                            In parallel, the Power in Iran appeared weakened : there was for a moment a question of regime change, but the answer was unclear, particularly regarding a possibility of restoring the Pahlavi Monarchy after 46 years of Revolution. Yet, with the abrupt return to peace, the regime seems to have been narrowly saved, and the Iranian people's hope for freedom has vanished. If Saoshyant ("the supreme savior" in the ultimate revival or "Frashkan") could be more than an allegorical character, as predicted in the Zend Avesta and by Zarathustra, nobody knows how unpredictable would be his interaction. We can simply notice, that the ancient religion of Ahura-Mazda (the winged-God) has reigned on Persia from the 10th century BC till the 7th century AD, and it is still existing !                 We were told the Iranian air-force was like non-existent. Therefore, this non-existence made all the decoy work of the American B2s in their approach to Iran and its overflight somewhat strange, and a little exaggerated. Weirdly, in spite of the close links existing between China and Iran, the latter didn't have any Chengdu war plane. But it should change next year, with the first deliveries. As a matter of fact, during the very recent mini-war between India and Pakistan in Kashmir and Jammu (April 22nd, 2025 - May 10th, 2025), Chengdus of Pakistan like the "J-10C Vigorous Dragons" (multirole war planes) have got noticed. They have been able to inflict astonishing losses with their dual pulse missiles PL-15 (at mach 5 !) on the Indian Air Force, during the night of May 8th, 2025. J-10Cs were the sudden Revelation of this surprising mini-war. Moreover, the Chinese quantum radars could render American stealth technology inoperable. If the American stealth B2 bomber seems to be a direct result of "Zeta" reverse-engineering (dating back to 1947), except for the speed, the Chinese J-10C could look like a reverse-engineering of "Venusian" type (more recent then) allegorically !  

About the situation of France, things are unclear and chaotic or contradictory, as usually. "Performative words" are not the cup of tea of French people. "Performative words" are supposed to be able to change the political, economic, or social reality they describe, through an intensive communication (to perform sensorial applications). Of course, Magical thinking is not necessarily a bad thing, when it's positive as in the Coué method. But using the same method in reverse to depress us is not the best overall effect. Yet, saying firmly and repeatedly something not properly understood, doesn't forcibly make it happen. "Any French who dares to think by himself is a hero", was saying Stendhal (1783 - 1842). The only sure thing is that the geographical living entity called "France", has appeared till now to be far stronger than its elites in full blues, and its leaders in full (non-strategic) confusion. It's a bit like if "Eternal France", the ancient Kingdom of  toads and frogs was stubbornly refusing to die, and wanted to free itself from the mirages of an "hypnocracy" without much hope. We refer you to our article of October 4th, 2021 : 'Uchronic history XV : "Ranae regem petunt" or the missed surprise of Robespierre !'